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Post by missouriboy on Oct 10, 2024 11:20:07 GMT
Going early this year, as have Dr appointment with the feller who fixed up my shoulder. Maybe he can help my knee. Has this got something to do with Missouri's "descent down the back slope"? Think Bronze Age Collapse II (with slightly better technology),
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Post by tyrbiter on Oct 10, 2024 12:08:21 GMT
Beginning of the descent down the back slope of the last solar cycle into Zharkova's upcoming minimum. The high ground flanking the middle of the Gulf ~ Alabama slightly north may be the best climate on the north of the Gulf for warmth and water. Placed for dodging the worst effects of the occasional TS/hurricane. SN dropping like a stone now.
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Post by missouriboy on Oct 10, 2024 13:14:54 GMT
Beginning of the descent down the back slope of the last solar cycle into Zharkova's upcoming minimum. The high ground flanking the middle of the Gulf ~ Alabama slightly north may be the best climate on the north of the Gulf for warmth and water. Placed for dodging the worst effects of the occasional TS/hurricane. SN dropping like a stone now. On the seventh day, God rested,
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Post by tyrbiter on Oct 11, 2024 13:31:07 GMT
SN dropping like a stone now. On the seventh day, God rested, With burnt fingers.
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Post by blustnmtn on Oct 11, 2024 22:45:00 GMT
My buddy got this pic just north of Harrisburg,PA last night!
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Post by duwayne on Nov 3, 2024 20:06:55 GMT
Code, Svalgaard's past prediction for the maximum smoothed sunspot number for Cycle 25 of 128 plus or minus 10 is proving to be too low. You were able to contact him in the past. I wonder what his current thinking is and whether he has made any revisions.
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Post by ratty on Nov 3, 2024 21:37:02 GMT
Code, Svalgaard's past prediction for the maximum smoothed sunspot number for Cycle 25 of 128 plus or minus 10 is proving to be too low. You were able to contact him in the past. I wonder what his current thinking is and whether he has made any revisions. Dwayne, you could try emailing leif@leif.org ....
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Post by ratty on Nov 3, 2024 23:58:08 GMT
Code, Svalgaard's past prediction for the maximum smoothed sunspot number for Cycle 25 of 128 plus or minus 10 is proving to be too low. You were able to contact him in the past. I wonder what his current thinking is and whether he has made any revisions. Dwayne, you could try emailing leif@leif.org .... Tested the email address and got this response: So I emailed him the question .....
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Post by ratty on Nov 4, 2024 23:09:34 GMT
Ask and ye shall receive? From Leif (for those who understand) .....
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Post by tyrbiter on Nov 5, 2024 21:34:59 GMT
Ask and ye shall receive? From Leif (for those who understand) ..... And I have been puzzling over the SN when it seems to leap about by many tens sometimes on a daily basis, there seems to be group splitting being decided almost randomly.
I'm pleased to see that I noticed this without having seen anything from Leif and co recently, or indeed in quite some time. I didn't think I was imagining it.
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Post by duwayne on Nov 6, 2024 18:54:59 GMT
Ask and ye shall receive? From Leif (for those who understand) ..... Ratty, thanks for checking with Leif. He's updated his max SSN prediction to 150, but it's obvious he wants to let the current cycle peak play out before he's ready to update his model.
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Post by tyrbiter on Nov 13, 2024 15:43:23 GMT
Ask and ye shall receive? From Leif (for those who understand) ..... Ratty, thanks for checking with Leif. He's updated his max SSN prediction to 150, but it's obvious he wants to let the current cycle peak play out before he's ready to update his model. Do you have a link to Leif's SSN prediction, I don't see if on his papers page.
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Post by duwayne on Nov 13, 2024 19:05:47 GMT
Ratty, thanks for checking with Leif. He's updated his max SSN prediction to 150, but it's obvious he wants to let the current cycle peak play out before he's ready to update his model. Do you have a link to Leif's SSN prediction, I don't see if on his papers page. svalgaard.leif.org/research/Prediction-SC-25-JSWSC.pdf
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Post by tyrbiter on Nov 13, 2024 22:53:40 GMT
Thank you, is there a similar link for the revised figure of 150?
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Post by duwayne on Nov 14, 2024 20:37:12 GMT
Thank you, is there a similar link for the revised figure of 150? It's in one of Ratty's posts above.
What are you trying to determine?
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