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Post by flearider on Apr 29, 2024 13:30:38 GMT
This guy states some interesting stuff relating to solar cycles yeah the 11 yr but what about the 1k yr as we enter the slow time of the sun (ie:dalton maunders) the beginning or the end of that cycle what happens next ?? and what causes the glaciation effect ? that lasts for 100/300k yrs ? so many questions and no answers .. |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 29, 2024 23:42:29 GMT
This guy states some interesting stuff relating to solar cycles yeah the 11 yr but what about the 1k yr as we enter the slow time of the sun (ie:dalton maunders) the beginning or the end of that cycle what happens next ?? and what causes the glaciation effect ? that lasts for 100/300k yrs ? so many questions and no answers .. So many questions. Seventy years ago the continents didn't move. Now they do. Decades ago, CO2 was plant food. Now it's the God of gases, and will kill us. |
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Post by Sigurdur on May 5, 2024 16:07:56 GMT
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Post by Sigurdur on May 6, 2024 2:48:05 GMT
www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202405/06/WS66383748a31082fc043c55ea.htmlNANJING -- China's Advanced Space-based Solar Observatory (ASO-S) -- dubbed Kuafu 1 in Chinese -- has detected more than 100 solar white-light flares since its launch in October 2022, according to the Purple Mountain Observatory under the Chinese Academy of Sciences.
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Post by acidohm on May 7, 2024 19:46:13 GMT
Pink line, 30 day smoothed, has equalled previous highest figure for SC25! Activity seems increased generally so perhaps a July 23 date for Solar Max will move to a point nearer our current date or in the future.  |
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Post by missouriboy on May 7, 2024 21:07:18 GMT
Kinda like trying to guess what move the drunk guy at the bar will do next. Pink line, 30 day smoothed, has equalled previous highest figure for SC25! Activity seems increased generally so perhaps a July 23 date for Solar Max will move to a point nearer our current date or in the future.
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Post by duwayne on May 8, 2024 18:28:27 GMT
My mental image of the sun's "outer atmosphere" is that it contains magnetic ropes which charge during the first half of the solar cycle and discharge during the second half. These ropes are spread around the plasma-filled atmosphere, but not uniformly.
When these ropes are charged to 1500 angstroms and happen to be at the surface, we see them as sunspots. The number at the surface at any time is random. When the ropes are highly charged and an exceptionally large number happen to be at the surface, we see major sunspot activity. But if the number of ropes at the surface happens to be low, the sunspot activity will be low even if the ropes are highly charged at the time.
The day-to-day and weekly sunspot changes we see and feel from our location on the earth are not the result of actual changes in the number or degree of magnetic level of the ropes. It is due to the random positioning of the ropes.
In the longer term on a 13-month smoothed basis, the driver of "activity" is the degree of the magnetic level of the ropes while the effect of their position relative to the surface evens out.
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Post by missouriboy on May 8, 2024 21:45:42 GMT
My mental image of the sun's "outer atmosphere" is that it contains magnetic ropes which charge during the first half of the solar cycle and discharge during the second half. These ropes are spread around the plasma-filled atmosphere, but not uniformly. When these ropes are charged to 1500 angstroms and happen to be at the surface, we see them as sunspots. The number at the surface at any time is random. When the ropes are highly charged and an exceptionally large number happen to be at the surface, we see major sunspot activity. But if the number of ropes at the surface happens to be low, the sunspot activity will be low even if the ropes are highly charged at the time. The day-to-day and weekly sunspot changes we see and feel from our location on the earth are not the result of actual changes in the number or degree of magnetic level of the ropes. It is due to the random positioning of the ropes. In the longer term on a 13-month smoothed basis, the driver of "activity" is the degree of the magnetic level of the ropes while the effect of their position relative to the surface evens out.
I'll make a statrment that the rise in the Mid-Pacific SSTAs can generally be seen in the sun's activity during the rising slope of the cycle. Large rises in geomagnetic activity may provide both energy to the tropical oceans and some other kick-start(s) that set off early-cycle ENSOs. Note that the first ENSO pulse of SC24 was only slightly later than SC25 ... and not as high. SC24 also had a second pulse about a year or so later. If that one gave us the large peak-following ENSO, then what does one-peak SC25 give us? Strictly a loose thesis, but look where SC20 took us.  |
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Post by acidohm on May 9, 2024 20:39:42 GMT
Activity moderately high today...that region which helped spike daily totals to a 20 year high is just about to rotate to view.  |
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Post by flearider on May 9, 2024 21:48:28 GMT
had 4 x class flares yesterday.. and there incoming fast .. may see some lights going out .. be careful out there folks ..  |
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Post by missouriboy on May 9, 2024 22:52:57 GMT
Plus Geomagnetic Disorder Syndrome. On top of what is already happening. How will incoming geomagnetic affect drones and other war gear? Eyes open.
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Post by blustnmtn on May 9, 2024 23:31:29 GMT
Plus Geomagnetic Disorder Syndrome. On top of what is already happening. How will incoming geomagnetic affect drones and other war gear? Eyes open. |
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Post by missouriboy on May 10, 2024 12:37:12 GMT
I wonder if Charlemagne's sword glowed? Forty-two years earlier, his predecessor had defeated "the Armies of Satan" at Tours ... and he ascended to the Frankish throne in 800. No doubt, if we get a Big One, that Joe Biden's "Mouth" will proclaim that "God has spoken."
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Post by code on May 10, 2024 14:59:33 GMT
My mental image of the sun's "outer atmosphere" is that it contains magnetic ropes which charge during the first half of the solar cycle and discharge during the second half. These ropes are spread around the plasma-filled atmosphere, but not uniformly. When these ropes are charged to 1500 angstroms and happen to be at the surface, we see them as sunspots. The number at the surface at any time is random. When the ropes are highly charged and an exceptionally large number happen to be at the surface, we see major sunspot activity. But if the number of ropes at the surface happens to be low, the sunspot activity will be low even if the ropes are highly charged at the time. The day-to-day and weekly sunspot changes we see and feel from our location on the earth are not the result of actual changes in the number or degree of magnetic level of the ropes. It is due to the random positioning of the ropes. In the longer term on a 13-month smoothed basis, the driver of "activity" is the degree of the magnetic level of the ropes while the effect of their position relative to the surface evens out.
I'll make a statrment that the rise in the Mid-Pacific SSTAs can generally be seen in the sun's activity during the rising slope of the cycle. Large rises in geomagnetic activity may provide both energy to the tropical oceans and some other kick-start(s) that set off early-cycle ENSOs. Note that the first ENSO pulse of SC24 was only slightly later than SC25 ... and not as high. SC24 also had a second pulse about a year or so later. If that one gave us the large peak-following ENSO, then what does one-peak SC25 give us? Strictly a loose thesis, but look where SC20 took us. Is 20 ideal for comparision? By my eye it looks like 25 is more closely following 22. <style></style> |
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Post by nemesis on May 10, 2024 16:13:04 GMT
Oh!
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