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Post by missouriboy on Jan 28, 2023 21:20:44 GMT
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Post by ratty on Jan 29, 2023 4:27:48 GMT
First animation to show a bowel movement?  |
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Post by acidohm on Feb 3, 2023 16:43:05 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 3, 2023 16:57:55 GMT
I have been getting lots of "blank" posts on my end recently. Is it you? Or me?
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Post by acidohm on Feb 3, 2023 18:09:53 GMT
I have been getting lots of "blank" posts on my end recently. Is it you? Or me? I just posted a link to twitter? Something on your device blocking it maybe? |
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Post by missouriboy on Feb 5, 2023 6:17:27 GMT
I have been getting lots of "blank" posts on my end recently. Is it you? Or me? I just posted a link to twitter? Something on your device blocking it maybe? Just have to find it. I can go to Twitter via Firefox and view fine ... but Firefox is not opening it within Solarcycle25 and sometimes elsewhere. |
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Post by ratty on Feb 5, 2023 7:20:41 GMT
I just posted a link to twitter? Something on your device blocking it maybe? Just have to find it. I can go to Twitter via Firefox and view fine ... but Firefox is not opening it within Solarcycle25 and sometimes elsewhere. If you quote the blank post, you should at least see the URL. Might need select BBCode? |
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Post by youngjasper on Feb 5, 2023 14:07:23 GMT
I just posted a link to twitter? Something on your device blocking it maybe? Just have to find it. I can go to Twitter via Firefox and view fine ... but Firefox is not opening it within Solarcycle25 and sometimes elsewhere. Ensure you have the Enhanced Tracking Protection for solarycycle25.com turned OFF. On firefox, click on the blue shield on the left of the URL bar. It will open a menu with a switch at the top to turn it off. You should then be able to see twitter links in the posts. |
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Post by acidohm on Feb 6, 2023 6:03:17 GMT
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Post by acidohm on Feb 8, 2023 5:55:34 GMT
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Post by acidohm on Feb 11, 2023 6:49:04 GMT
Quick overview of current SSW. It is occurring and *almost certainly* going to be a major event.  Here orange are negative wind anomalies, the top of the graph are at stratospheric pressures, down to surface pressure at bottom. If the negative anomalies drip down to where we are, someone somewhere in Northern hemisphere may experience colder conditions. This is probably a displacement event rather then a split polar vortex event.  For comparison...this was a split vortex in 2009, a real classic!  Location is everything, where the polar vortex ends up and what is left of it changes probability on where effects may be felt at ground level. This paper deals with this www.nature.com/articles/s41612-018-0054-4These graphs from above show 100hpa pressure anomalies, cluster 5 at right are used as most likely to cause increased wintery conditions as a result of a major ssw. Cluster 1 least likely.  The 2009 event images can be seen to qualify as cluster 5. This one is most likely to be cluster 4. We really need a split to allow negative wind anomalies to dominate over North Atlantic/Greenland. If the Anomlies reside over Siberia, Canada or Aleutia...there's varying degrees of probabilities of sone effects somewhere, but they are lower then the cluster 5, North Atlantic variety. Which perhaps is analogous to the importance of the North Atlantic to Temperate Northern Hemispheric temperatures as a whole? |
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Post by ratty on Feb 11, 2023 9:40:55 GMT
Quick overview of current SSW. It is occurring and *almost certainly* going to be a major event. [ Snip ] What's your prediction? |
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Post by acidohm on Feb 11, 2023 11:45:31 GMT
Quick overview of current SSW. It is occurring and *almost certainly* going to be a major event. [ Snip ] What's your prediction? I predict alot of media making 4+ week forecasts with certainty, whereas there is none outside 5-7 days! There's no way of telling just yet, we need the warming to progress, then connect with the troposphere before we get hints of how that may affect pressure systems. |
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Post by glennkoks on Feb 11, 2023 12:59:21 GMT
This late in the season it would stand to reason that any polar outbreaks at the end of February or early March would be somewhat moderated by the fact we are no longer in the middle of winter. With that being said the old adage about March coming in like a lion and out like a lamb may be highlighted this year.
I don't know if, when or where the polar vortex will wander should this SSW displace much colder air locked up in the pole all winter. But I do know that if it happens and disruptions to lives occurs anywhere in the NH due to cold weather/storms it will be labeled "unprecedented" by the legacy media and attributed to AGW. That is my prediction...
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Post by acidohm on Feb 11, 2023 13:09:56 GMT
2018 in early March we had 2 days with -5°c max daytime temp! It was a short sharp event certainly.
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