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Post by missouriboy on Jun 29, 2022 23:06:10 GMT
you could do a yearly average rather than a monthly it would show more clearly the trend. also the actual year on the x axis rather than the SC but showing which SC. This is ground breaking and very compelling. I'll speak with the board about additional funding.  I'd appreciate that. Then I could build that warm, eco-friendly cave I've been wanting.  |
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 2, 2022 0:28:10 GMT
I have tentatively finished an extension of this exercise and I am moving that over to the ENSO 2021-2022 Thread. Primarily because I can then remember where I put it, I would like to invite Astro to provide some comments on issues raised here/there. Heat begets cold ... just as morons beget Ph.Ds ... or just a desperate effort to ignore the obvious? They can only ignore the data for so long. Their ship is sinking and they must avoid the seemingly obvious climate relation to ENSO and ENSO's relation to Solar cycles. The two following charts show monthly ENSO SSTA deviations from the 1981-2010 monthly-specific means for regions 1+2, 3, 3.4 and 4 calculated for the first 2+ years of each Solar Cycle (SCs 19 to 25). The "climate cake" for the next decade is being baked even as we speak. If ENSO Region 1+2 (top chart right) represents inflows from the Eastern South Pacific, you can see cold setting in ... of a magnitude currently at Solar Cycle 20 levels. Think the 1970s at least. It is declining quickly. The Great Climate Shift of 1976 stands out in the central and western regions. The high peak of Solar Cycle 23 is due to El Nino warmth flowing all the way to the South American coast. The decline in ENSO Region 4 has been slower than the eastern regions, but will likely continue to bleed down. Declines in ENSO regions 1+2 and 3 are very steep. Region 3.4 is a composite of parts of Regions 3 and 4. Triple Dip? Maybe more. Tally ho.
  Is this showing one cycle of the quasi- 60 year cycle? |
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Astromet
Level 3 Rank
Meanwhile, here in the real world...
Posts: 169
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Post by Astromet on Jul 17, 2022 17:53:52 GMT
And La Nina continues in 2022, as I have long forecast it would.  |
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Post by code on Jul 17, 2022 18:09:12 GMT
And La Nina continues in 2022, as I have long forecast it would. I must admit I was a skeptic many years ago, but here it is... and I am inclined to say it looks deep and strong. I used earth.nullschool.net/ and went back over the years to see how past years compared, and I conclude it's strong and deep. |
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Post by Sigurdur on Jul 17, 2022 20:19:39 GMT
Yep.
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 17, 2022 20:48:43 GMT
And La Nina continues in 2022, as I have long forecast it would. I must admit I was a skeptic many years ago, but here it is... and I am inclined to say it looks deep and strong. I used earth.nullschool.net/ and went back over the years to see how past years compared, and I conclude it's strong and deep. And it's from the south ... not the north. And the south is a really cold place. And the north Pacific venting heat like crazy. |
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Astromet
Level 3 Rank
Meanwhile, here in the real world...
Posts: 169
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Post by Astromet on Jul 21, 2022 8:35:14 GMT
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Astromet
Level 3 Rank
Meanwhile, here in the real world...
Posts: 169
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Post by Astromet on Jul 29, 2022 1:59:00 GMT
La Nina is still around, well into 2022, as I forecast it would...  |
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Post by WantTolearn on Jul 30, 2022 12:50:59 GMT
Hi Theodore,
What happens to the global weather patterns after the current La Nina ends later this year?
Do the current trends flip? Meaning better weather for food production or is that too simplistic?
Thank you
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 30, 2022 13:28:03 GMT
Hi Theodore, What happens to the global weather patterns after the current La Nina ends later this year? Do the current trends flip? Meaning better weather for food production or is that too simplistic? Thank you Hello Want. Glad to see ya here. I'm awaiting Astro as well. But, no matter what happens, you can be assured that one Charles Oscar II is to blame.  |
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Post by ratty on Jul 30, 2022 15:46:12 GMT
Hi Theodore, What happens to the global weather patterns after the current La Nina ends later this year? Do the current trends flip? Meaning better weather for food production or is that too simplistic? Thank you Hello Want. Glad to see ya here. I'm awaiting Astro as well. But, no matter what happens, you can be assured that one Charles Oscar II is to blame. ... and his cousin, Prince will be singing his praises. |
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Post by shaggy on Jul 30, 2022 20:04:03 GMT
I would hazard a guess that the 3 year la nina, that was forecasted here, is the primary driver of any unusual weather patterns. The UK recently had 40+c weather, a rararity, but we get subjected to the climate change scare stories plus the weather has remained dry so some areas are bringing in hosepipe bans...Europe has seen record heat too caused by the azores high doing its usual, assisted by a low pressure drawing hot air from Africa. Now I see floods in parts of the USA.
Funny things these sea based events and how they change the weather patterns.
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Post by flearider on Jul 30, 2022 20:53:22 GMT
my guess very cold this winter .. uk with lots of snow .. same as most of the northern hemisphere ...
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Post by code on Jul 31, 2022 2:26:06 GMT
Hi Theodore, What happens to the global weather patterns after the current La Nina ends later this year? Do the current trends flip? Meaning better weather for food production or is that too simplistic? Thank you Hello. We would welcome your thoughts and hope to hear more from you. |
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Post by gridley on Aug 5, 2022 10:24:13 GMT
Not a perfect fit, but not aligned with the Pravda either: www.foxweather.com/weather-news/farmers-almanac-hibernation-zone-glacial-snow-filled-winter "In fact, their forecast map declares much of the upper Midwest a "Hibernation Zone" with a "glacial, snow-filled" winter head with temperatures forecast to drop as cold as -40 in the North Central states in mid-January which would be near record territory for some cities (such as Fargo, North Dakota) if such forecasts came to pass. "While temperatures wouldn't be that cold in the Northeast, the Almanac is predicting "significant shivers" there. Even in the Southeast, whose forecast isn't particularly snowy, is still looking at a "shivery, wet and slushy" winter, according to the Almanac. "As for the Southern Plains, expect the brunt of winter to come in January, with heavy snow predicted in the first week of 2023 in Texas and Oklahoma." |
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