**ASTROMET LA NINA FORECAST: 2021-2022**
Aug 14, 2021 23:40:59 GMT
missouriboy, birder, and 4 more like this
Post by Astromet on Aug 14, 2021 23:40:59 GMT
Astromet Climate/Weather Forecast: Return of La Niña
The Terrible Winter 2021-2022 & Cold, Wet Spring Climate of 2022
Western North American Drought To Briefly End in 2022
Forecast by Theodore White, astromet.sci
Back in 2006, I was the only forecaster in the world to predict both El Nino to arrive in 2009-2010, to be followed by La Niña in 2010-2011. I also forecast and ENSO for the 2020-2022 period, and am reminding everyone to prepare for the La Nina of 2021-2022 that will significantly impact the climate going into the northern hemisphere's autumn of 2021 into winter 2022 and into the first half of spring 2022.
I also have long forecasted the extremely cold, wet, then cold and dry winter of 2021-2022 - ending with a cold and wet spring of 2022 throughout the northern hemisphere. This will take place with the coronavirus pandemic going strong, spurred by the mass vaccinations of 2021.
The La Nina, caused by the activity of the Sun, will strengthen during the fall of 2021 and rage into the horrendous winter/spring 2022 that I have long forecasted. The weather will feature gusting winds, heavy amounts of snowfall, along with frequent bouts of freezing rain and ice as well as subzero cold temperatures.
My Astromet forecast has the northern hemispheric winter beginning on November 5, 2021 and not ending until May 5, 2022. The worst of the winter weather will be from December 2021 through to April 2022 and will effectively nullify spring 2022 to the point that it will appear to many that we will have gone from winter straight into summer by mid-June 2022 - and with heavy snowmelt causing major floods in mid-spring 2022.
Called “the girl” in Spanish, La Niña occurs when there are lower-than-normal temperatures to the central Pacific Ocean, and is one of the key drivers of weather around the globe.
The colder-than-normal ocean temperatures will bring cold temperatures and heavier snowfall to the Pacific Northwest and will replenish the snowpack in Washington State, Oregon an California.
The Sierra Nevada snowpack, which provides 30 per cent of California with its drinkable water, was still at low levels now, but the strong La Nina I have forecast will alleviate the drought and provide a very healthy boost for dwindling water reserves fed by the Sierra Nevada.
The jet flow from the Pacific Northwest will travel east through the Ohio and the Tennessee Valleys later in the winter; but there will be intermittent polar flows from the arctic that will causes subzero temperatures, lifting only enough for more layers of snow and ice to accumulate throughout the winter of 2021-2022 into the early spring of 2022.
From mid-April to mid-May 2022, there will be melting snowpack that will cause heavy flooding from the Upper Midwest, into the Midwest, flowing into the Gulf of Mexico.
While climate scientists still attempt to understand how La Nina affects weather in the Northeast of the US, and NOAA believe there’s an equal chance of having a wet and dry winter.
What I forecast is a strong La Nina that will see first a cold/wet winter from October to December 2021. This will be followed by more cold/dry winter weather from January to February 2022 and then cold and wetter winter conditions from March to early May 2022.
'ASTROMET FORECAST: WINTER-2021-2022 & SPRING 2022'
Solar and planetary transits confirm the return of La Niña as forecasted over 10 years ago by me for the 2021-2022 climate season in both hemispheres of the Earth.
I caution everyone to prepare for the coming long winter of 2022 that will cause early spring to disappear due to the length of the powerful winter season ahead.
Those who have read and trusted my previous seasonal forecasts will already know my general climate forecast; however, for those looking for advance knowledge I offer these tips to use during the summer & autumn seasons of 2021.
There will be significant signs of the long cold winter in October 2021, then winter will officially begin on November 5, 2021 and will last until May 5, 2022.
The primary problem will be precipitation of freezing rain, heavy snowfalls and ice storms due to the oscillation of low cold temperatures, at times, subzero temperatures with polar vortex intrusions into the middle latitudes of the northern hemisphere.
It will be followed by early to mid-spring floods due to snowmelt from heavy rains in April, May and June 2022.
The months of October, November & December 2021 will be active; weather-wise being colder and wetter than normal.
January 2022 will feature colder-than-normal temperatures for two-thirds of North America with intermittent polar vortex incursions.
*February 2022 will be drier, but colder than normal featuring snowfall in late January 2022 and again in the third week of February.
*March 2022 will be wetter and colder than normal and looks to me to the be worst month of winter with thousands of records broken for precipitation and subzero temperatures. It will feature heavy snowfall and ice storms, particularly for the Midwestern and Southwestern U.S., featuring low pressure systems whose central pressure falls 24 millibars in 24 hours in a process known as explosive cyclogenesis.
*April 2022 is another wet month of snow, freezing rain and ice storms. The accumulation of snow and ice will be countered with bright sun during the days melting the snow - only for colder than normal night temperatures freezing the melt - especially for the American Midwest and Southeastern states.
Then, by mid-April into mid-May, the rains will begin to melt the snow faster, causing floods of streams and rivers.
Travel will be especially dangerous during the entire horrendous winter of 2021-2022 and the cold and wet spring of 2022.
Then, starting in mid-April 2022, and extending all of May into June 2022, snowmelt will cause the threat of floods - first the Hudson Bay and the Red River along North Dakota's border with Minnesota and then especially the long stretch of the Mississippi River bordering many states from the Upper Midwest down to the Gulf of Mexico.
'THE SNOWMELT FLOODS OF APRIL, MAY & JUNE 2022'
The most dangerous time for flooding from ice jams and snowmelt will extend from April 12, 2022 to June 20, 2022.
I am forecasting significant flooding for some Canadian provinces and American states from April to June 2022. Preparation and caution is advised.
Though it may run counter-intuitive to conventional forecasters, as an astrometeorologist, I have determined that in the western half of the United States, winds transport water vapor from the Pacific Ocean eastward.
But in the eastern half of the U.S., weather patterns transport moisture primarily south to north from the Gulf of Mexico all the way to the Great Lakes and New England.
The Mississippi River is entirely within the U.S. and is the longest river in North America, draining with its major tributaries an area of approximately 1.2 million square miles (3.1 million square km) or about one-eighth of the entire continent.
It rises at Lake Itasca in Minnesota and flows almost due south across the continental interior as it collects the waters of its major tributaries - the Missouri River (to the west) and the Ohio River (to the east) - approximately halfway along its journey to the Gulf of Mexico through a vast delta southeast of New Orleans.
All of that equals a total distance of 2,340 miles (3,766 km) from its source.
With its tributaries, the Mississippi drains all or part of 31 U.S. states and two provinces in Canada.
Due to the length, breadth and strength of winter 2022 with its great precipitation and cold, I do not expect to not see early spring 2022 for two-thirds of North America.
A flood is considered a snowmelt flood when melting snow is a major source of the water involved.
The extreme snowmelt of 2022 will be caused by warming temperatures as the Sun rises higher in the skies after the vernal equinox of March 20, 2022.
For instance, after 2021, and into 2022 in parts of the Pacific Northwest and the northeastern U.S., the coming snowmelt events will be driven by precipitation of rain that will fall on the accumulated snow - causing swelling of streams and tributaries into rivers.
Unlike rainfall, which reaches the soil almost immediately, snow stores the water for some time until it melts, delaying the arrival of water at the soil for days, weeks, or even months.
Once it does reach the soil, the water either soaks into the ground or runs off.
But if more water runs off than soaks in - especially driven by rain melting the snow, then flooding occurs.
Snowmelt floods typically occurs every year in the northern United States, with most snowmelt events being minor and localized.
Eight of the most significant floods of the 20th century (in terms of area affected, property damage, and deaths) were related to snowmelt.
What causes snowmelt flooding?
High soil moisture conditions prior to snowmelt, frozen ground, heavy snow cover and widespread heavy rain during the melt period, and rapid snowmelt (unseasonably warm temperatures, high humidity, rainfall, etc.)
I divide the Mississippi River into four distinct sections:
From its headwaters, at its source to the head of navigation at St. Paul, Minnesota, the Mississippi begins as a fresh stream winding its way through low countryside dotted with lakes and marshes.
The upper Mississippi extends from St. Paul to the mouth of the Missouri River near St. Louis, Missouri where I expect floods in early spring 2022 as the Missouri River feeds into the Mississippi River at St. Louis.
Flowing past steep limestone bluffs and receiving water from tributaries of the states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Iowa, the river in this segment assumes the character that led Algonquian native Indians to name it the “Father of Waters” (literally misi, “big”; sipi, “water”.)
Below the Missouri River junction, the middle Mississippi follows a 200-mile (320-km) course to the mouth of the Ohio River, another region that will encounter floods in spring 2022.
The turbulent, cloudy-to-muddy, and flotsam-laden Missouri, especially when in flood, adds impetus as well as enormous quantities of silt to the clearer Mississippi.
Beyond the confluence with the Ohio River at Cairo, Illinois, where residents should prepare for spring 2022 flooding, the lower Mississippi attains its full grandeur.
At the point where the Ohio and Mississippi rivers met, the Ohio River will be larger that's because below the Ohio confluence the Mississippi swells to more than twice the size it is above.
In fact, temperatures will struggle to dry out and warm up significantly until mid-to-late May 2022 for the Plains and northern states and provinces as the ENSO phase of La Nina gradually retreats.
'ENSO - 2021-2022'
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (known as ENSO) is a variation in winds and sea surface temperatures over the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean.
It affects the climate of much of the tropics and subtropics.
The warm phase of ENSO is known as El Niño and the cold phase is called La Niña.
Back in 2006, I forecasted that by mid-2009 to mid-2010, there would be a El Niño which would be then followed by a strong La Niña in 2010-2011.
I have forecasted that a weak El Niño would arrive in 2019 to be followed by a powerful La Niña that will dominate the weather of 2021-2022 - with an especially snowy, icy and long winter and spring season throughout the northern hemisphere.
ASTROMET TUTORIAL - 'WHAT IS ENSO?'
ENSO events are essentially caused by solar and planetary action.
These are major decadal climate events that happen every 10-11 solar years.
The last ENSO, which I forecasted years in advance, was the El Niño of mid-2009 into 2010, that was then followed by the cold phase La Niña in 2010-11 I predicted would come immediately after.
What people are witnessing is a large-scale variability in the Earth's climate circulatory system.
But when climate scientists try to predict ENSO they are removing a climate mechanism where the thermal/kinetic exchange to equilibrium is achieved.
ENSO is externally forced through the polar annular modes/AAM.
What confuses climate computer modelers about ENSO and its cycle is that the thermodynamic response to perturbation is not linear.
That's because El Niño and La Niña respond to fluctuations caused by the external forcing - primarily by the activity of the Sun.
ENSO is forced by the Sun externally because of the strength of the trade winds, that is a technical term for what is known as 'Walker Cell' dynamics and the AAM integrals which predate ENSO's sea surface temperature variations.
Know that the Earth's atmosphere with these perturbations is the less energetic body, so by definition there has to be an 'external' perturbation present that forces the atmosphere to respond.
Scientific evidence of the Sun's forcing of the atmosphere exists and the relationship is very significant:
For instance, the co-rotating coronal holes of the Sun induce fluctuations of the solar wind speed in the vicinity of the Earth.
These fluxes of solar wind speed are closely correlated with geomagnetic activity and the resultant geophysical climate and weather effects on Earth which is basic to Astrometeorology.
Solar wind speeds have been observed and monitored by orbiting Earth satellites since the mid-1960s.
The long-term series of solar wind speed clearly reveals enhanced amplitudes at the solar rotation period of 27.3 days and at its harmonics 13.6 and 9.1 days.
The amplitude series are modulated by a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) that has a period of 1.75a (that's 21 months) as bispectral analysis reveals.
A 1.75a QBO component is also present in the equatorial, zonal wind of the stratosphere at 30 hPa, in addition to the well-known QBO component at the period 2.4a (at 29 months.)
The solar wind QBO influences the stratospheric QBO, the global electric circuit, and cloud cover by modulation of ionospheric electric fields, cosmic ray flux and particle precipitation.
And the series of solar wind speed fluctuations are band pass-filtered at the period 1.75a.
The filtered series provide the amplitude of the solar wind QBO as function of time.
The maxima of the solar wind QBO series correlate with those of the ENSO Index. Analysis confirms that the solar wind QBO helps to trigger ENSO activity.
The Sun's forcing of ENSO is performed by changes in the meridional flux by means of the NAM/SAM. This is what also connects directly back to planetary wave action. The Sun's 22-year magnetic flip cycle kicks off when opposite charged magnetic bands that wrap around the Sun appear near the star's polar latitudes.
Over the cycle, the bands migrate toward the equator - causing sunspots to appear as they travel across the mid-latitudes.
The cycle ends when the bands meet in the middle - in effect, mutually annihilating one another.
This is called a terminator event and these terminators provide excellent guides on the end of one cycle and the start of another.
Researchers would be able to see how the Sun's terminator events and its effects on sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific going back to 1960s.
What will be discovered are that the five (5) terminator events that occurred between from say, 1960-61 to the El Nino/La Nina that forecasted for in 2006 for solar years 2009-2011 all coincided with a flip from an El Nino to a La Nina.
For instance, we are in a current La Nina phase now (2021-2022) as I forecast back at the end of 2011.
It will also be the prime reason for the horrendous weather of winter 2021-2022 and spring of 2022 that I have long predicted.
To understand more, know that our Sun is impelled by its own spheroidal unisonal vortex that precesses in a two-axis spin.
The consolidating vortical motion on the Sun will then cause the Sun to isotropically radiate charged particles by the reactive centrifugal forces of its manifested vortices.
Isotropic vortical spin fusion of the aetheric vortex weaves as matter and it is the causality for vortical spin radiation in harmonics of various wavelengths.
Based on this unisonal vortex mechanism, the reactive centrifugal force from vortical motion of photosphere as a result of precession effects vortical spins and charges solar particles.
So, with the pushing of angular momentum, the charged particles of protons and electrons are ejected with reactive centrifugal force that is the solar wind and this directly impacts the magnetic field and atmosphere of the Earth.
Vortical motion is the first principle for the mechanisms of how our Sun and solar system operates, but heat is merely an effect.
In precession cycles, the Sun in barycenter motion exchanges angular momentum in the spheroidal unisonal vortex, which vortically moves in and out of the stellar vortex center while at the same time revolving around it and the planets Jupiter and Saturn are part of the dual core barycenter of our solar system that causes the Sun to change activity which directly affects the weather and climate of all the planets in our solar system - including the Earth's weather and climate.
The volume of the Sun is ~1.412×10^18 cubic km, and the mass of the Sun is ~1.9891×10^30 kg.
The Sun's heliosphere has an approximate radius of 122 astronomical units and the density of the Solar Wind is 4.0 atoms per cubic centimeter with the mass of a proton at ~1.6726×10^-27 kg.
So, it's a very tenuous calculation with omission errors to ascertain the total mass of supersonic protons in the heliosphere which is roughly 1.70x10^20 kg.
However, that could have a significant precessional effect on our Solar System as the overall angular momentum of ~7.67x10^28 kg m s^-1 with its 450 km average velocity is not as "miniscule" an effect as the deniers claim.
If one considers an upper limit for the density of the solar wind, say, at 7.0 atoms per cubic centimeter as shown by solar wind research; then the potential mass effect of protons in the heliosphere is approximately 6.75% of the Sun's mass.
Moreover, knowing the dragging effect by all other objects in our solar system besides that of the Sun, Jupiter and Saturn, then that is the catalyst of the drag that alters the 20-year cycle of Sun-Jupiter-Saturn to a 22-year solar cycle for the Barycenter and Sun.
If the Sun intercepts the barycenter at higher latitude, farther away from its invariable plane, then that shows up as asymmetrical magnetic reversal.
Conventional climatologists have been miffed by the asymmetrical magnetic reversals of the Sun.
But I am not, that is because it happens when the Sun intercepts the barycenter of the solar system at the higher latitude of the Sun.
In the rare instances when our Earth enters a barycenter, it would then cause the Earth's magnetic field to be twisted and flipped, then twisted again, then the magnetic field gradually reverts back to normal when Earth has moved out of the barycenter.
The Solar System with all its objects by stellar vortex spins (movement) is primarily precessing in its two-axis spin. The precession effect intensity of the stellar vortex interacting with the Sun, would cyclically strengthen, or weaken depending on the arrangement of the objects in our solar system, planetary bodies, moons, etc.
From an astronomic forecasting perspective, our Sun's maximums are caused by the combined precessional effects and especially the strengthened tidal forces of the alignments of Jupiter, Saturn and Sun with the barycenter at their inferior conjunctions.
It takes about 59.3 years for both planets and the Sun to complete one longer cycle. Other significant precession cycles with longer orbital periods involve two other large planets - Uranus and Neptune. A strong precessional cycle that affects the barycenter motion of the solar system are caused by the near ratio orbital resonance of Jupiter and Saturn.
It is similar to the Earth's spring tides that cause higher sea levels by combined forces of an aligned Earth, the Moon and the Sun in lunar/solar configurations, or the neap tides featuring lower sea levels on Earth when the position of Moon at quarter phases is approximately perpendicular to the alignment of Earth and Sun.
So the solar maximums of the Sun's cycle are caused by the maximum combined precession effect of Jupiter, the Sun and the barycenter. This phenomenon happens when the position of Saturn is perpendicular to the alignment of the Jupiter, Sun and the barycenter with weakened tidal forces.
It is my forecast that low-lying regions with homes and commercial structures will be prone to flooding during spring 2022 after the subzero temperatures and cold pressure of the winter/spring of that year gives way to the higher declination of the Sun causing greater snowmelt of the layers of ice and snow that built up over the long winter of 2021-2022.
Those looking to relocate to more favorable regions who want a forecast can contact me at astro730@gmail.com to get a personalized forecast for you and your family.
If you are reading this during the summer or fall of 2021, then I advise that you begin those plans to avoid the climate/weather of late 2021 into the first half of 2022.
In addition, I continue to forecast that the pandemic will be ongoing into 2022.
Those who engage in biased, narrow-minded ideology on the pandemic and mRNA vaccines are about to receive shocks going into January 2022 and beyond.
According to my astrological calculations, new virus variants created by the mass vaccinations, will see the vaccinated falling ill during the very cold climate and weather I have forecast for winter and spring 2022.
Again, mass vaccinations tell the virus to do one of two things - either find a solution or die. So the virus finds another solution and makes itself immune to vaccinations while simultaneously more people are infected by the vaccinations themselves, falling ill, and in some cases, dying.
It is advised to build up your natural immunity this summer into autumn 2021 before the horrendous winter and spring 2022 gets underway.
The adverse weather and climate conditions will be favorable for the new vaccine-caused mutated versions and variants of the coronavirus that I have forecast is about to spread more widely - featuring dueling influenza and the SARS-CoV-2 virus outbreaks when the long cold winter weather sets in for most of the country.
'NORTH AMERICAN WEST DROUGHT TO BRIEFLY END AFTER 2021-2022 LA NINA'
The 2021 drought in western Canada and United States, and in particular, California, will come to an end with the wane of La Nina by mid-spring 2022. I expect the winter of 2022 to deposit enough snow on the Sierra Mountains to effectively ease the drought in the state of California.
But before that happens, two-thirds of North America will experience the very cold and wet winter and spring of 2022.
California, whose climate has naturally becoming more Mediterranean over the decades, will continue to experience spans of very wet and very dry climate conditions through the era of the Sun's Grand Minimum and global cooling.
Generally, from 2021 to 2025, western regions will oscillate from extremely dry to extremely wet - going from drought conditions to heavy rains.
Meanwhile, the Midwest, Southeastern U.S., as well as the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern U.S. will see more precipitation by means of heavy rain and snow as numerous regions experience floods.
The Desert Southwest and Pacific Northwest will undergo extremes of either too much, or too little precipitation.
Farmers worldwide, in preparing for ENSO and living with the weather of global cooling must make significant changes in how they live and work to remain profitable.
Changes must include the ability to shift and adapt with the climate and weather conditions of global cooling; from the high irregularity of seasons; to below-average precipitation to drought conditions and from drought to above-average precipitation - the mainstay of the highly variable weather of global cooling.
The climate change to global cooling in late 2017, which I have been forecasting for well over a decade, has arrived, despite predictions for ever more 'man-made global warming' which does not exist.
Lies and propaganda spread by pseudo-climate change proponents continue to try to make people believe the myth that man-made global warming causes global cooling - a worldwide mini ice age under a quiescent Sun.
The fact is that 'man-made global warming' does not cause global cooling no more than a ball, when dropped, will automatically roll uphill in defiance of the laws of gravity.
Those who are in denial that the Sun causes climate change need to know that the last ice age from the 15th through 18th centuries saw average annual temperatures across much of the planet to plummet for decades at a time.
During those spans of time which formed the heart of the Little Ice Age,' the weather of global cooling came about due to atmospheric and oceanic circulation that brought about highly irregular seasons, featuring extensive drought to some regions and torrential rains and great floods to other regions.
The failure of those who presume to forecast climate and weather is that they are not students of these ice ages - the weather of global cooling that sparked crop failures.
This led to ever-worsening famines and epidemics that then causes rebellions, hue and cries and wars to emerge.
The climate of global cooling causes a worldwide crisis that led to the deaths of a third of the planet as tens of millions of people were unprepared for the mini ice age.
So, while the propaganda of a 'rapidly warming world' has caused nations, governments and populations to be complacent over the last 25 years; the fact is that that complacency will have serious consequences during the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s under a quiescent Sun.
No amount and foolish talk and mere attempts of 'geoengineering' is going to stop the power of the Sun on the Earth's climate. The Sun holds 99.86% of the mass of the entire Solar System.
As the Sun emits less and less ultraviolet energy throughout its soon-to-be Grand Minimum, it is incumbent upon all to prepare for the long haul because having a short-term outlook of weather and climate is fatal to survival.
North America, particularly Canada and the United States will have to slow down their exports of food to other nations by the mid-2020s because of crop failures due to the weather of global cooling.
The Sun's Grand Minimum and Global Cooling is a threat to those who have propagandized the lie of 'man-made global warming' with the hope that world temperatures will climb based on the falsity that CO2 emissions causes it.
Of course, that isn't going to happen and never has, because it violates all the laws of physics and thermodynamics.
What is happening is that with the advent of the climate of global cooling media coverage is being forced to pay attention.
And just not on how unusual the weather events are, but it is forcing discussion some do not like to hear which is against support for policies that are founded on the fantasy of 'man-made global warming.'
Climate and weather events which span from two to three standard deviation ranges are going to have to be reported to the general public against the weight of evidence which claims the cause is man-made global warming.
Standard deviations that range at 3 and higher will increase due to the fact that we have entered a new mini ice age, and so that means that the reporting on what this means is going to contrast the typical blame of everything on human-caused climate change.
The fact with man-made global warming is that it was never true. It has burdened the general public with the climate insight of an infant at the expense of preparing the public for the realities of climate change caused by a quiescent Sun.
As the unusual extreme weather events - ranging from great droughts to great floods - along with the irregularity of seasons; torrential rains, heavy snowfall, ice storms and radical temperatures fluxes continue to frequently make worldwide headlines the fact is that the climate community and media will be forced to talk increasingly about global cooling - caused by the activity of the quiescent Sun.
And with prices rising by means of inflation, it is wise to make your buys of winter supplies during summer as demand will be great going into the coming winter/spring of 2022.
~ Theodore White, astromet.sci
The Terrible Winter 2021-2022 & Cold, Wet Spring Climate of 2022
Western North American Drought To Briefly End in 2022
Forecast by Theodore White, astromet.sci
Back in 2006, I was the only forecaster in the world to predict both El Nino to arrive in 2009-2010, to be followed by La Niña in 2010-2011. I also forecast and ENSO for the 2020-2022 period, and am reminding everyone to prepare for the La Nina of 2021-2022 that will significantly impact the climate going into the northern hemisphere's autumn of 2021 into winter 2022 and into the first half of spring 2022.
I also have long forecasted the extremely cold, wet, then cold and dry winter of 2021-2022 - ending with a cold and wet spring of 2022 throughout the northern hemisphere. This will take place with the coronavirus pandemic going strong, spurred by the mass vaccinations of 2021.
The La Nina, caused by the activity of the Sun, will strengthen during the fall of 2021 and rage into the horrendous winter/spring 2022 that I have long forecasted. The weather will feature gusting winds, heavy amounts of snowfall, along with frequent bouts of freezing rain and ice as well as subzero cold temperatures.
My Astromet forecast has the northern hemispheric winter beginning on November 5, 2021 and not ending until May 5, 2022. The worst of the winter weather will be from December 2021 through to April 2022 and will effectively nullify spring 2022 to the point that it will appear to many that we will have gone from winter straight into summer by mid-June 2022 - and with heavy snowmelt causing major floods in mid-spring 2022.
Called “the girl” in Spanish, La Niña occurs when there are lower-than-normal temperatures to the central Pacific Ocean, and is one of the key drivers of weather around the globe.
The colder-than-normal ocean temperatures will bring cold temperatures and heavier snowfall to the Pacific Northwest and will replenish the snowpack in Washington State, Oregon an California.
The Sierra Nevada snowpack, which provides 30 per cent of California with its drinkable water, was still at low levels now, but the strong La Nina I have forecast will alleviate the drought and provide a very healthy boost for dwindling water reserves fed by the Sierra Nevada.
The jet flow from the Pacific Northwest will travel east through the Ohio and the Tennessee Valleys later in the winter; but there will be intermittent polar flows from the arctic that will causes subzero temperatures, lifting only enough for more layers of snow and ice to accumulate throughout the winter of 2021-2022 into the early spring of 2022.
From mid-April to mid-May 2022, there will be melting snowpack that will cause heavy flooding from the Upper Midwest, into the Midwest, flowing into the Gulf of Mexico.
While climate scientists still attempt to understand how La Nina affects weather in the Northeast of the US, and NOAA believe there’s an equal chance of having a wet and dry winter.
What I forecast is a strong La Nina that will see first a cold/wet winter from October to December 2021. This will be followed by more cold/dry winter weather from January to February 2022 and then cold and wetter winter conditions from March to early May 2022.
'ASTROMET FORECAST: WINTER-2021-2022 & SPRING 2022'
Solar and planetary transits confirm the return of La Niña as forecasted over 10 years ago by me for the 2021-2022 climate season in both hemispheres of the Earth.
I caution everyone to prepare for the coming long winter of 2022 that will cause early spring to disappear due to the length of the powerful winter season ahead.
Those who have read and trusted my previous seasonal forecasts will already know my general climate forecast; however, for those looking for advance knowledge I offer these tips to use during the summer & autumn seasons of 2021.
There will be significant signs of the long cold winter in October 2021, then winter will officially begin on November 5, 2021 and will last until May 5, 2022.
The primary problem will be precipitation of freezing rain, heavy snowfalls and ice storms due to the oscillation of low cold temperatures, at times, subzero temperatures with polar vortex intrusions into the middle latitudes of the northern hemisphere.
It will be followed by early to mid-spring floods due to snowmelt from heavy rains in April, May and June 2022.
The months of October, November & December 2021 will be active; weather-wise being colder and wetter than normal.
January 2022 will feature colder-than-normal temperatures for two-thirds of North America with intermittent polar vortex incursions.
*February 2022 will be drier, but colder than normal featuring snowfall in late January 2022 and again in the third week of February.
*March 2022 will be wetter and colder than normal and looks to me to the be worst month of winter with thousands of records broken for precipitation and subzero temperatures. It will feature heavy snowfall and ice storms, particularly for the Midwestern and Southwestern U.S., featuring low pressure systems whose central pressure falls 24 millibars in 24 hours in a process known as explosive cyclogenesis.
*April 2022 is another wet month of snow, freezing rain and ice storms. The accumulation of snow and ice will be countered with bright sun during the days melting the snow - only for colder than normal night temperatures freezing the melt - especially for the American Midwest and Southeastern states.
Then, by mid-April into mid-May, the rains will begin to melt the snow faster, causing floods of streams and rivers.
Travel will be especially dangerous during the entire horrendous winter of 2021-2022 and the cold and wet spring of 2022.
Then, starting in mid-April 2022, and extending all of May into June 2022, snowmelt will cause the threat of floods - first the Hudson Bay and the Red River along North Dakota's border with Minnesota and then especially the long stretch of the Mississippi River bordering many states from the Upper Midwest down to the Gulf of Mexico.
'THE SNOWMELT FLOODS OF APRIL, MAY & JUNE 2022'
The most dangerous time for flooding from ice jams and snowmelt will extend from April 12, 2022 to June 20, 2022.
I am forecasting significant flooding for some Canadian provinces and American states from April to June 2022. Preparation and caution is advised.
Though it may run counter-intuitive to conventional forecasters, as an astrometeorologist, I have determined that in the western half of the United States, winds transport water vapor from the Pacific Ocean eastward.
But in the eastern half of the U.S., weather patterns transport moisture primarily south to north from the Gulf of Mexico all the way to the Great Lakes and New England.
The Mississippi River is entirely within the U.S. and is the longest river in North America, draining with its major tributaries an area of approximately 1.2 million square miles (3.1 million square km) or about one-eighth of the entire continent.
It rises at Lake Itasca in Minnesota and flows almost due south across the continental interior as it collects the waters of its major tributaries - the Missouri River (to the west) and the Ohio River (to the east) - approximately halfway along its journey to the Gulf of Mexico through a vast delta southeast of New Orleans.
All of that equals a total distance of 2,340 miles (3,766 km) from its source.
With its tributaries, the Mississippi drains all or part of 31 U.S. states and two provinces in Canada.
Due to the length, breadth and strength of winter 2022 with its great precipitation and cold, I do not expect to not see early spring 2022 for two-thirds of North America.
A flood is considered a snowmelt flood when melting snow is a major source of the water involved.
The extreme snowmelt of 2022 will be caused by warming temperatures as the Sun rises higher in the skies after the vernal equinox of March 20, 2022.
For instance, after 2021, and into 2022 in parts of the Pacific Northwest and the northeastern U.S., the coming snowmelt events will be driven by precipitation of rain that will fall on the accumulated snow - causing swelling of streams and tributaries into rivers.
Unlike rainfall, which reaches the soil almost immediately, snow stores the water for some time until it melts, delaying the arrival of water at the soil for days, weeks, or even months.
Once it does reach the soil, the water either soaks into the ground or runs off.
But if more water runs off than soaks in - especially driven by rain melting the snow, then flooding occurs.
Snowmelt floods typically occurs every year in the northern United States, with most snowmelt events being minor and localized.
Eight of the most significant floods of the 20th century (in terms of area affected, property damage, and deaths) were related to snowmelt.
What causes snowmelt flooding?
High soil moisture conditions prior to snowmelt, frozen ground, heavy snow cover and widespread heavy rain during the melt period, and rapid snowmelt (unseasonably warm temperatures, high humidity, rainfall, etc.)
I divide the Mississippi River into four distinct sections:
From its headwaters, at its source to the head of navigation at St. Paul, Minnesota, the Mississippi begins as a fresh stream winding its way through low countryside dotted with lakes and marshes.
The upper Mississippi extends from St. Paul to the mouth of the Missouri River near St. Louis, Missouri where I expect floods in early spring 2022 as the Missouri River feeds into the Mississippi River at St. Louis.
Flowing past steep limestone bluffs and receiving water from tributaries of the states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Iowa, the river in this segment assumes the character that led Algonquian native Indians to name it the “Father of Waters” (literally misi, “big”; sipi, “water”.)
Below the Missouri River junction, the middle Mississippi follows a 200-mile (320-km) course to the mouth of the Ohio River, another region that will encounter floods in spring 2022.
The turbulent, cloudy-to-muddy, and flotsam-laden Missouri, especially when in flood, adds impetus as well as enormous quantities of silt to the clearer Mississippi.
Beyond the confluence with the Ohio River at Cairo, Illinois, where residents should prepare for spring 2022 flooding, the lower Mississippi attains its full grandeur.
At the point where the Ohio and Mississippi rivers met, the Ohio River will be larger that's because below the Ohio confluence the Mississippi swells to more than twice the size it is above.
In fact, temperatures will struggle to dry out and warm up significantly until mid-to-late May 2022 for the Plains and northern states and provinces as the ENSO phase of La Nina gradually retreats.
'ENSO - 2021-2022'
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (known as ENSO) is a variation in winds and sea surface temperatures over the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean.
It affects the climate of much of the tropics and subtropics.
The warm phase of ENSO is known as El Niño and the cold phase is called La Niña.
Back in 2006, I forecasted that by mid-2009 to mid-2010, there would be a El Niño which would be then followed by a strong La Niña in 2010-2011.
I have forecasted that a weak El Niño would arrive in 2019 to be followed by a powerful La Niña that will dominate the weather of 2021-2022 - with an especially snowy, icy and long winter and spring season throughout the northern hemisphere.
ASTROMET TUTORIAL - 'WHAT IS ENSO?'
ENSO events are essentially caused by solar and planetary action.
These are major decadal climate events that happen every 10-11 solar years.
The last ENSO, which I forecasted years in advance, was the El Niño of mid-2009 into 2010, that was then followed by the cold phase La Niña in 2010-11 I predicted would come immediately after.
What people are witnessing is a large-scale variability in the Earth's climate circulatory system.
But when climate scientists try to predict ENSO they are removing a climate mechanism where the thermal/kinetic exchange to equilibrium is achieved.
ENSO is externally forced through the polar annular modes/AAM.
What confuses climate computer modelers about ENSO and its cycle is that the thermodynamic response to perturbation is not linear.
That's because El Niño and La Niña respond to fluctuations caused by the external forcing - primarily by the activity of the Sun.
ENSO is forced by the Sun externally because of the strength of the trade winds, that is a technical term for what is known as 'Walker Cell' dynamics and the AAM integrals which predate ENSO's sea surface temperature variations.
Know that the Earth's atmosphere with these perturbations is the less energetic body, so by definition there has to be an 'external' perturbation present that forces the atmosphere to respond.
Scientific evidence of the Sun's forcing of the atmosphere exists and the relationship is very significant:
For instance, the co-rotating coronal holes of the Sun induce fluctuations of the solar wind speed in the vicinity of the Earth.
These fluxes of solar wind speed are closely correlated with geomagnetic activity and the resultant geophysical climate and weather effects on Earth which is basic to Astrometeorology.
Solar wind speeds have been observed and monitored by orbiting Earth satellites since the mid-1960s.
The long-term series of solar wind speed clearly reveals enhanced amplitudes at the solar rotation period of 27.3 days and at its harmonics 13.6 and 9.1 days.
The amplitude series are modulated by a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) that has a period of 1.75a (that's 21 months) as bispectral analysis reveals.
A 1.75a QBO component is also present in the equatorial, zonal wind of the stratosphere at 30 hPa, in addition to the well-known QBO component at the period 2.4a (at 29 months.)
The solar wind QBO influences the stratospheric QBO, the global electric circuit, and cloud cover by modulation of ionospheric electric fields, cosmic ray flux and particle precipitation.
And the series of solar wind speed fluctuations are band pass-filtered at the period 1.75a.
The filtered series provide the amplitude of the solar wind QBO as function of time.
The maxima of the solar wind QBO series correlate with those of the ENSO Index. Analysis confirms that the solar wind QBO helps to trigger ENSO activity.
The Sun's forcing of ENSO is performed by changes in the meridional flux by means of the NAM/SAM. This is what also connects directly back to planetary wave action. The Sun's 22-year magnetic flip cycle kicks off when opposite charged magnetic bands that wrap around the Sun appear near the star's polar latitudes.
Over the cycle, the bands migrate toward the equator - causing sunspots to appear as they travel across the mid-latitudes.
The cycle ends when the bands meet in the middle - in effect, mutually annihilating one another.
This is called a terminator event and these terminators provide excellent guides on the end of one cycle and the start of another.
Researchers would be able to see how the Sun's terminator events and its effects on sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific going back to 1960s.
What will be discovered are that the five (5) terminator events that occurred between from say, 1960-61 to the El Nino/La Nina that forecasted for in 2006 for solar years 2009-2011 all coincided with a flip from an El Nino to a La Nina.
For instance, we are in a current La Nina phase now (2021-2022) as I forecast back at the end of 2011.
It will also be the prime reason for the horrendous weather of winter 2021-2022 and spring of 2022 that I have long predicted.
To understand more, know that our Sun is impelled by its own spheroidal unisonal vortex that precesses in a two-axis spin.
The consolidating vortical motion on the Sun will then cause the Sun to isotropically radiate charged particles by the reactive centrifugal forces of its manifested vortices.
Isotropic vortical spin fusion of the aetheric vortex weaves as matter and it is the causality for vortical spin radiation in harmonics of various wavelengths.
Based on this unisonal vortex mechanism, the reactive centrifugal force from vortical motion of photosphere as a result of precession effects vortical spins and charges solar particles.
So, with the pushing of angular momentum, the charged particles of protons and electrons are ejected with reactive centrifugal force that is the solar wind and this directly impacts the magnetic field and atmosphere of the Earth.
Vortical motion is the first principle for the mechanisms of how our Sun and solar system operates, but heat is merely an effect.
In precession cycles, the Sun in barycenter motion exchanges angular momentum in the spheroidal unisonal vortex, which vortically moves in and out of the stellar vortex center while at the same time revolving around it and the planets Jupiter and Saturn are part of the dual core barycenter of our solar system that causes the Sun to change activity which directly affects the weather and climate of all the planets in our solar system - including the Earth's weather and climate.
The volume of the Sun is ~1.412×10^18 cubic km, and the mass of the Sun is ~1.9891×10^30 kg.
The Sun's heliosphere has an approximate radius of 122 astronomical units and the density of the Solar Wind is 4.0 atoms per cubic centimeter with the mass of a proton at ~1.6726×10^-27 kg.
So, it's a very tenuous calculation with omission errors to ascertain the total mass of supersonic protons in the heliosphere which is roughly 1.70x10^20 kg.
However, that could have a significant precessional effect on our Solar System as the overall angular momentum of ~7.67x10^28 kg m s^-1 with its 450 km average velocity is not as "miniscule" an effect as the deniers claim.
If one considers an upper limit for the density of the solar wind, say, at 7.0 atoms per cubic centimeter as shown by solar wind research; then the potential mass effect of protons in the heliosphere is approximately 6.75% of the Sun's mass.
Moreover, knowing the dragging effect by all other objects in our solar system besides that of the Sun, Jupiter and Saturn, then that is the catalyst of the drag that alters the 20-year cycle of Sun-Jupiter-Saturn to a 22-year solar cycle for the Barycenter and Sun.
If the Sun intercepts the barycenter at higher latitude, farther away from its invariable plane, then that shows up as asymmetrical magnetic reversal.
Conventional climatologists have been miffed by the asymmetrical magnetic reversals of the Sun.
But I am not, that is because it happens when the Sun intercepts the barycenter of the solar system at the higher latitude of the Sun.
In the rare instances when our Earth enters a barycenter, it would then cause the Earth's magnetic field to be twisted and flipped, then twisted again, then the magnetic field gradually reverts back to normal when Earth has moved out of the barycenter.
The Solar System with all its objects by stellar vortex spins (movement) is primarily precessing in its two-axis spin. The precession effect intensity of the stellar vortex interacting with the Sun, would cyclically strengthen, or weaken depending on the arrangement of the objects in our solar system, planetary bodies, moons, etc.
From an astronomic forecasting perspective, our Sun's maximums are caused by the combined precessional effects and especially the strengthened tidal forces of the alignments of Jupiter, Saturn and Sun with the barycenter at their inferior conjunctions.
It takes about 59.3 years for both planets and the Sun to complete one longer cycle. Other significant precession cycles with longer orbital periods involve two other large planets - Uranus and Neptune. A strong precessional cycle that affects the barycenter motion of the solar system are caused by the near ratio orbital resonance of Jupiter and Saturn.
It is similar to the Earth's spring tides that cause higher sea levels by combined forces of an aligned Earth, the Moon and the Sun in lunar/solar configurations, or the neap tides featuring lower sea levels on Earth when the position of Moon at quarter phases is approximately perpendicular to the alignment of Earth and Sun.
So the solar maximums of the Sun's cycle are caused by the maximum combined precession effect of Jupiter, the Sun and the barycenter. This phenomenon happens when the position of Saturn is perpendicular to the alignment of the Jupiter, Sun and the barycenter with weakened tidal forces.
It is my forecast that low-lying regions with homes and commercial structures will be prone to flooding during spring 2022 after the subzero temperatures and cold pressure of the winter/spring of that year gives way to the higher declination of the Sun causing greater snowmelt of the layers of ice and snow that built up over the long winter of 2021-2022.
Those looking to relocate to more favorable regions who want a forecast can contact me at astro730@gmail.com to get a personalized forecast for you and your family.
If you are reading this during the summer or fall of 2021, then I advise that you begin those plans to avoid the climate/weather of late 2021 into the first half of 2022.
In addition, I continue to forecast that the pandemic will be ongoing into 2022.
Those who engage in biased, narrow-minded ideology on the pandemic and mRNA vaccines are about to receive shocks going into January 2022 and beyond.
According to my astrological calculations, new virus variants created by the mass vaccinations, will see the vaccinated falling ill during the very cold climate and weather I have forecast for winter and spring 2022.
Again, mass vaccinations tell the virus to do one of two things - either find a solution or die. So the virus finds another solution and makes itself immune to vaccinations while simultaneously more people are infected by the vaccinations themselves, falling ill, and in some cases, dying.
It is advised to build up your natural immunity this summer into autumn 2021 before the horrendous winter and spring 2022 gets underway.
The adverse weather and climate conditions will be favorable for the new vaccine-caused mutated versions and variants of the coronavirus that I have forecast is about to spread more widely - featuring dueling influenza and the SARS-CoV-2 virus outbreaks when the long cold winter weather sets in for most of the country.
'NORTH AMERICAN WEST DROUGHT TO BRIEFLY END AFTER 2021-2022 LA NINA'
The 2021 drought in western Canada and United States, and in particular, California, will come to an end with the wane of La Nina by mid-spring 2022. I expect the winter of 2022 to deposit enough snow on the Sierra Mountains to effectively ease the drought in the state of California.
But before that happens, two-thirds of North America will experience the very cold and wet winter and spring of 2022.
California, whose climate has naturally becoming more Mediterranean over the decades, will continue to experience spans of very wet and very dry climate conditions through the era of the Sun's Grand Minimum and global cooling.
Generally, from 2021 to 2025, western regions will oscillate from extremely dry to extremely wet - going from drought conditions to heavy rains.
Meanwhile, the Midwest, Southeastern U.S., as well as the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern U.S. will see more precipitation by means of heavy rain and snow as numerous regions experience floods.
The Desert Southwest and Pacific Northwest will undergo extremes of either too much, or too little precipitation.
Farmers worldwide, in preparing for ENSO and living with the weather of global cooling must make significant changes in how they live and work to remain profitable.
Changes must include the ability to shift and adapt with the climate and weather conditions of global cooling; from the high irregularity of seasons; to below-average precipitation to drought conditions and from drought to above-average precipitation - the mainstay of the highly variable weather of global cooling.
The climate change to global cooling in late 2017, which I have been forecasting for well over a decade, has arrived, despite predictions for ever more 'man-made global warming' which does not exist.
Lies and propaganda spread by pseudo-climate change proponents continue to try to make people believe the myth that man-made global warming causes global cooling - a worldwide mini ice age under a quiescent Sun.
The fact is that 'man-made global warming' does not cause global cooling no more than a ball, when dropped, will automatically roll uphill in defiance of the laws of gravity.
Those who are in denial that the Sun causes climate change need to know that the last ice age from the 15th through 18th centuries saw average annual temperatures across much of the planet to plummet for decades at a time.
During those spans of time which formed the heart of the Little Ice Age,' the weather of global cooling came about due to atmospheric and oceanic circulation that brought about highly irregular seasons, featuring extensive drought to some regions and torrential rains and great floods to other regions.
The failure of those who presume to forecast climate and weather is that they are not students of these ice ages - the weather of global cooling that sparked crop failures.
This led to ever-worsening famines and epidemics that then causes rebellions, hue and cries and wars to emerge.
The climate of global cooling causes a worldwide crisis that led to the deaths of a third of the planet as tens of millions of people were unprepared for the mini ice age.
So, while the propaganda of a 'rapidly warming world' has caused nations, governments and populations to be complacent over the last 25 years; the fact is that that complacency will have serious consequences during the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s under a quiescent Sun.
No amount and foolish talk and mere attempts of 'geoengineering' is going to stop the power of the Sun on the Earth's climate. The Sun holds 99.86% of the mass of the entire Solar System.
As the Sun emits less and less ultraviolet energy throughout its soon-to-be Grand Minimum, it is incumbent upon all to prepare for the long haul because having a short-term outlook of weather and climate is fatal to survival.
North America, particularly Canada and the United States will have to slow down their exports of food to other nations by the mid-2020s because of crop failures due to the weather of global cooling.
The Sun's Grand Minimum and Global Cooling is a threat to those who have propagandized the lie of 'man-made global warming' with the hope that world temperatures will climb based on the falsity that CO2 emissions causes it.
Of course, that isn't going to happen and never has, because it violates all the laws of physics and thermodynamics.
What is happening is that with the advent of the climate of global cooling media coverage is being forced to pay attention.
And just not on how unusual the weather events are, but it is forcing discussion some do not like to hear which is against support for policies that are founded on the fantasy of 'man-made global warming.'
Climate and weather events which span from two to three standard deviation ranges are going to have to be reported to the general public against the weight of evidence which claims the cause is man-made global warming.
Standard deviations that range at 3 and higher will increase due to the fact that we have entered a new mini ice age, and so that means that the reporting on what this means is going to contrast the typical blame of everything on human-caused climate change.
The fact with man-made global warming is that it was never true. It has burdened the general public with the climate insight of an infant at the expense of preparing the public for the realities of climate change caused by a quiescent Sun.
As the unusual extreme weather events - ranging from great droughts to great floods - along with the irregularity of seasons; torrential rains, heavy snowfall, ice storms and radical temperatures fluxes continue to frequently make worldwide headlines the fact is that the climate community and media will be forced to talk increasingly about global cooling - caused by the activity of the quiescent Sun.
And with prices rising by means of inflation, it is wise to make your buys of winter supplies during summer as demand will be great going into the coming winter/spring of 2022.
~ Theodore White, astromet.sci
