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Post by code on Aug 28, 2021 16:03:17 GMT
more geese today
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Post by Sigurdur on Aug 28, 2021 19:09:04 GMT
Have not observed any in the ND fly way.
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Astromet
Level 3 Rank
Meanwhile, here in the real world...
Posts: 169
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Post by Astromet on Aug 30, 2021 10:20:02 GMT
FORECAST: 'WINTER IS COMING...'
We are now in the last third of summer 2021 going into September in the northern hemisphere.
As the autumnal equinox nears, the Sun will be angling lower in the skies and the weather will turn wetter and colder.
It may be difficult for some people to imagine right now, but know that it is time to begin planning for the colder months that will be here before we know it.
Reports are coming in from the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia on the appearance of our fall season buddies - the woolly bear caterpillars - who are sporting a narrow band of orange, which means a very cold winter and heavy lowland snow.
I have long predicted the La Niña of 2021-2022 which means cooler winter weather and plenty of snow in the mountains and surface-level lowland snow with La Niña.
The coming winter of 2021-2022 and spring 2022 will be one of the most challenging seasons in the lifetimes of a great many people - especially in North America, but also for Europe.
Typically this time of year, energy utilities across Europe are topping off their tanks, replacing old wires, locking in gas contracts, and doing the sort of routine maintenance needed to prepare for the coming winter.
But this year is different.
Natural gas prices are way up; reserves are way down; winter is around the corner; and energy traders, policy watchers, and regional experts are getting nervous - and they should be.
Despite the years of advance warnings I have provided on the winter of 2021-2022 and cold spring of 2022, few nations in the northern hemisphere, including the U.S. and Canada have prepared - and the consequences will be felt as a result.
Consider this:
Natural gas reserves in the European Union are far below normal levels for this time of year. That is because of last year's unusually cold late winter and early spring, which I also forecasted - but for Europe, means that the season to refill storage was shortened.
This year, going into the coming winter - their supplies are at around 12 percent, - versus 64 percent in past years.
'THE PERFECT STORM IS COMING'
This powerful winter of 2021-2022 will show its signs during the fall season with winter beginning earlier than normal and lasting well through early spring 2022 with everything from freezing rain, ice storms, gusting wind-chills, blizzard bombs of heavy snow and polar air of subzero frigid temperatures - in effect, many people will see and experience it all.
The shortages of energy is going to place much of North Americ and especially the European Union n a troubling position ahead of winter if storage doesn't fill up by October, because that is when the season to refill ends. Russia itself is also racing to fill its own storage ahead of the winter season.
Gas storages are usually filled in the summer before the heating season in autumn so the current situation has become worrying for the Europeans.
Tight supplies have resulted in spiking prices; and just last month gas prices at a key trading point in the Netherlands hit a 17-year record.
Current gas prices are running about three times above what they were at this time in 2019 - and five times compared with last year, when the COVID-19 pandemic slowed down or shuttered much industrial production.
Liquefied natural gas, or LNG, from North America typically would help bolster European supplies.
But this year, however, much of that has instead been heading to Asia, where prices are even higher and as much as 80% higher than in Europe, by some measures.
According to my Astromet calculations, this perfect storm combination of factors buffering markets: natural disasters, technical outages at many natural gas plants; the rise in industrial demand as economies struggle with the COVID-19 shutdowns has come together all at once.
As the coronavirus pandemic has derailed economic growth, there is growing concern worldwide about hunger and malnutrition.
The pandemic I forecast from 2017, along with crop shortages with the climate of global cooling under the Sun's quiescent phase means that from 2021 into 2022 there are problems in almost all countries.
Energy and food prices are rising and, where prices are still the same, there are already shortages.
Food inflation is always a negative factor, and the new wave of inflation will be particularly severe.
As I have long forecast for this time just ahead, there are now serious concerns about hunger and malnutrition that have emerged, even in the world’s richest countries
The short version is that there is not enough energy and resources available worldwide - and a long, cold and protracted winter is coming as I continue to forecast and warn.
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Post by glennkoks on Aug 30, 2021 13:48:53 GMT
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Post by glennkoks on Aug 30, 2021 13:54:03 GMT
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Post by acidohm on Aug 30, 2021 14:13:08 GMT
I've been trying to find gas stats for UK....anyone know??
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Post by code on Aug 30, 2021 14:32:57 GMT
I've been trying to find gas stats for UK....anyone know?? I don't, and I don't know what you are looking for but
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Post by glennkoks on Aug 30, 2021 14:40:46 GMT
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Post by code on Aug 30, 2021 14:48:39 GMT
Have not observed any in the ND fly way. |
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Post by acidohm on Aug 30, 2021 16:19:20 GMT
The salt cavern construction for gas storage is incredible! |
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 30, 2021 18:25:00 GMT
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Astromet
Level 3 Rank
Meanwhile, here in the real world...
Posts: 169
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Post by Astromet on Aug 31, 2021 2:15:54 GMT
Thanks Glenn, as you can see what I am pointing out here. It is going to worsen going into fall if government don't get their thumbs out of their behinds and get to work. As much as the lockdowns and slowdowns last year caused problems, the supply chain links got worse in 2021 and now we have shortages throughout the northern hemisphere going into one of the worst winter seasons in years I've long predicted was coming - and they are walking everyone straight into it with more expensive and less energy resources. The perfect storm is coming. I suggest at this late juncture that individuals take matters into their own hands and seriously stock up for the long haul, which according to my calculations is about five-and-a-half to six months starting in November 2021 to early May 2022. |
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Post by glennkoks on Aug 31, 2021 3:10:23 GMT
Thanks Glenn, as you can see what I am pointing out here. It is going to worsen going into fall if government don't get their thumbs out of their behinds and get to work. As much as the lockdowns and slowdowns last year caused problems, the supply chain links got worse in 2021 and now we have shortages throughout the northern hemisphere going into one of the worst winter seasons in years I've long predicted was coming - and they are walking everyone straight into it with more expensive and less energy resources. The perfect storm is coming. I suggest at this late juncture that individuals take matters into their own hands and seriously stock up for the long haul, which according to my calculations is about five-and-a-half to six months starting in November 2021 to early May 2022. I appreciate the warning. Living on the Gulf Coast I have learned to be prepared for hurricanes. But never in my existence would I have thought a winter storm like the one that happened last February would bring me to my knees scrambling for heat in an all electric home. At 53 years of age I have never lost power for more than a few hours due to a winter storm until this year. Growing up in the 1970's I experienced some "brutal" winters relatively speaking. But nothing like last February. It was a wake up call for sure. Thanks for all the warning. |
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Post by code on Aug 31, 2021 4:30:44 GMT
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Post by haein45 on Sept 1, 2021 2:15:16 GMT
Autumn has fallen
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