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Post by ratty on Jul 28, 2021 20:54:41 GMT
Forecast predicts cool temps to return after Saturday here. So we had about a week of typical summer temps this year. I myself have not seen a temp of over 98 F. Please remind me where "here" is Mr. Walnut. |
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Jul 29, 2021 15:21:25 GMT
Thanks Mr. Rat! Even I can figure out Mr. Walnut's location from that clue.
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Post by phydeaux2363 on Jul 29, 2021 17:10:19 GMT
I note that the European is cooler than the GFS. I also note that seems to be more common than not. Does anyone have any data on whether the GFS is biased warm in its 10 day predictions?
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Post by acidohm on Jul 29, 2021 17:55:54 GMT
I note that the European is cooler than the GFS. I also note that seems to be more common than not. Does anyone have any data on whether the GFS is biased warm in its 10 day predictions? No data but a bit of confusing general opinion I've noted. Yes it tends to go warm in the medium term, but underplays temps in the short term. |
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 30, 2021 14:46:33 GMT
Another round of cold in Western Europe.  |
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Post by acidohm on Jul 30, 2021 17:27:59 GMT
Another round of cold in Western Europe. Some of uk has had 5x average rainfall for July. Of course bbc etc is wall to wall "Cc causes more rain".... |
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 30, 2021 18:41:39 GMT
Another round of cold in Western Europe. Some of uk has had 5x average rainfall for July. Of course bbc etc is wall to wall "Cc causes more rain".... They should look back through the old records and check the "conditions" under which most similar events occurred. They might have to go back a ways? |
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Post by walnut on Jul 31, 2021 3:43:11 GMT
Thanks Mr. Rat! Even I can figure out Mr. Walnut's location from that clue. Yes, that's it. And today I saw 100 F briefly while driving through the small heat island of Muskogee, OK. Cool temps to return Sunday, and might persist for a couple of weeks. |
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 31, 2021 7:45:03 GMT
Thanks Mr. Rat! Even I can figure out Mr. Walnut's location from that clue. Yes, that's it. And today I saw 100 F briefly while driving through the small heat island of Muskogee, OK. Cool temps to return Sunday, and might persist for a couple of weeks. You're running out of summer Walnut. Hope you're getting all that stone cut out. You're going to need it to pay Joe for food and gas.  |
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 1, 2021 0:06:47 GMT
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Post by acidohm on Aug 1, 2021 6:50:48 GMT
Fortunately this was Friday, parents set caravan up yesterday, weather is very "British" now bit tbh, when I get up before the others for a morning, quiet, coffee with a view like this as long as it's dry I'm all good!  |
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 2, 2021 1:25:23 GMT
Summer is glorius yes?  |
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 2, 2021 18:36:33 GMT
The UAH lower troposphere temperature anomaly for the Globe jumped in July to +0.20C. Assumed continued lagged rebound from ENSO rebound prior to next decline.  |
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Post by duwayne on Aug 2, 2021 22:08:57 GMT
It's flooding around our Tucson desert home. The local fire department rescued 3 people from their vehicle which was swept down a normally dry river bed behind our house. This is the continuation of a very wet and unusually stormy period.
I can hardly wait until the July numbers are recorded so I can send them to my Professor friend at Arizona University who has predicted a super dry summer due to global warming. The July rainfall numbers for Tucson are in. I'm going to tell my University of Arizona professor friend who predicted a super dry summer that he needs to admit that the models at a minimum are useless.
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Post by acidohm on Aug 2, 2021 22:39:15 GMT
It's flooding around our Tucson desert home. The local fire department rescued 3 people from their vehicle which was swept down a normally dry river bed behind our house. This is the continuation of a very wet and unusually stormy period.
I can hardly wait until the July numbers are recorded so I can send them to my Professor friend at Arizona University who has predicted a super dry summer due to global warming. The July rainfall numbers for Tucson are in. I'm going to tell my University of Arizona professor friend who predicted a super dry summer that he needs to admit that the models at a minimum are useless.
I have little doubt the explanation for the extra water will be that a warmer atmosphere holds more water and that although drier would be expected extremes are also a sign of GW. |
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