Solar Cycle 25

[blustnmtn]

Jul 13, 2023 13:59:47 GMT missouriboy said:

Old SOL on a run for the last couple of months.

Dr. Svalgaard's prediction theory is looking pretty good.

[flearider]

Jul 13, 2023 17:08:12 GMT blustnmtn said:

Jul 13, 2023 13:59:47 GMT missouriboy said:

Old SOL on a run for the last couple of months.

Dr. Svalgaard's prediction theory is looking pretty good.

by half way thru next yr it will shit a brick and drop  not sure it will double peak ..60/40 in favour it does not .. 

[Sigurdur]

[Sigurdur]

judithcurry.com/2023/07/04/solar-activity-solar-cycle-25-surpasses-cycle-24/

[Sigurdur]

www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/cannibal-coronal-mass-ejection-that-devoured-dark-eruption-from-sun-will-smash-into-earth-tomorrow-july-18/ar-AA1dZa5n?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=e05bae256b9a4098a2f97b7c3044327a&ei=20


"cannibal" coronal mass ejection (CME) birthed from multiple solar storms, including a surprise "dark eruption," is currently on a collision course with Earth and could trigger a sizable geomagnetic storm on our planet when it hits on Tuesday (July 18).

CMEs are large, fast-moving clouds of magnetized plasma and solar radiation that occasionally get flung into space alongside solar flares — powerful explosions on the sun's surface that are triggered when horseshoe-shaped loops of plasma located near sunspots snap in half like an overstretched elastic band. If CMEs smash into Earth, they can cause geomagnetic storms — disturbances in our planet's magnetic field — that can trigger partial radio blackouts and produce vibrant aurora displays much farther away from Earth's magnetic poles than normal.

[ratty]

Jul 17, 2023 17:57:54 GMT Sigurdur said:

www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/cannibal-coronal-mass-ejection-that-devoured-dark-eruption-from-sun-will-smash-into-earth-tomorrow-july-18/ar-AA1dZa5n?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=e05bae256b9a4098a2f97b7c3044327a&ei=20


"cannibal" coronal mass ejection (CME) birthed from multiple solar storms, including a surprise "dark eruption," is currently on a collision course with Earth and could trigger a sizable geomagnetic storm on our planet when it hits on Tuesday (July 18).

CMEs are large, fast-moving clouds of magnetized plasma and solar radiation that occasionally get flung into space alongside solar flares — powerful explosions on the sun's surface that are triggered when horseshoe-shaped loops of plasma located near sunspots snap in half like an overstretched elastic band. If CMEs smash into Earth, they can cause geomagnetic storms — disturbances in our planet's magnetic field — that can trigger partial radio blackouts and produce vibrant aurora displays much farther away from Earth's magnetic poles than normal.

[Sigurdur]

local21news.com/news/local/solar-minimum-could-bring-wild-weather-patterns-11-01-2018

[Sigurdur]

The influence of solar forcing and Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR) ionization on the global distribution of clouds is investigated using 42 years ERA-5 data (1979–2020). In the mid-latitudes over Eurasia, GCR and cloudiness are negatively correlated, which

www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-30447-9

[Sigurdur]

[Sigurdur]

[Sigurdur]

www.space.com/x-class-solar-flare-radio-blackout-august-2023

[duwayne]

Svalgaard's prediction for the maximum 13-month smoothed sunspot number for Cycle 25 was 128 plus or minus 10.  The August data point results in a number of 118 which touches the bottom of the range.  

[missouriboy]

Acid.  I believe that you had noted odd magnetic sunspot fields in the past.  What is happening here?  Is this the precursor of your forecasted "one-peak" solar cycle?

electroverse.co/atlantic-hurricane-season-weakest-start-in-30-years-odd-sun/

Despite the quiet, a new sunspot (provisionally numbered AR3088) is emerging in the sun’s southern hemisphere; however, something is off about it — observers have noted that its magnetic field is not normal:

The sunspot, as shown in the above Solar Dynamics Observatory map of magnetic fields, should have its magnetic poles arranged +/-, that is, positive (+) on the left and negative (-) on the right. Instead, however, and going against Hale’s Law, they are rotated 90 degrees with positive (+) on top and negative (-) is on the bottom.

This is a rare ‘perpendicular sunspot,’ with magnetic poles orthogonal to the sun’s equator.

What’s going on?

“Something unusual may be happening to the sun’s magnetic dynamo beneath the surface where this sunspot is growing,” postulates Dr Tony Philips of spaceweather.com. “We’ll keep an eye on AR3088 to see what happens next,” he concludes.

[phydeaux2363]

Mr. Moboy. Sunspot 3088 transited the Sun in August 2022. Have there been other perpendicular sunspots since then?

[missouriboy]

Sept 27, 2023 14:53:23 GMT phydeaux2363 said:

Mr. Moboy. Sunspot 3088 transited the Sun in August 2022. Have there been other perpendicular sunspots since then?

I started out linked to a September 27, 2023 article and came out a "wormhole" a year earlier.  Not sure how that happened.  Thanks for the double-check.