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Post by neilhamp on Dec 7, 2022 7:03:09 GMT
Gin & Tonic is in the glass in the photo
I switch to whisky & ginger for the winter months.
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Post by ratty on Dec 7, 2022 7:09:47 GMT
Gin & Tonic is in the glass in the photo I switch to whisky & ginger for the winter months.  |
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Post by neilhamp on Dec 9, 2022 7:48:38 GMT
November month end sea ice extent fell BELOW 2010’s average for the first time since March 2022. December sea ice extent still BELOW 2010's average Jan.31.—-16th.lowest. +333,064 sq.km. above 2010’s average. Feb.28.—-11th.lowest +116,764 sq.km. above 2010’s average Mar.31.—-10th.lowest -127,470 sq.km. BELOW 2010’s average Apr. 30.—-14th.lowest +16,886 sq.km. above 2010’s average May. 31.—15th lowest +395,097 sq.km. above 2010’s average Jun. 30.—-10th.lowest +35,744 sq.km above 2010’s average Jul. 31.—–12th lowest +228,905 sq.km. above 2010’s average Aug.31.—-11th.lowest +203,902 sq.km. above 2010’s average Sep.30.—–7th lowest +115,918 sq.km. above 2010’s average Oct.31.—– 11th lowest, +269,119 sq.km. above 2010’s average Nov30.——5th lowest, -183,803 sq.km. BELOW 2010’s average Dec.31-----4th.lowest,-138,700 sq.km. BELOW 2010's average Will continue to update here through to January Happy New Year to you all.  |
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Post by nonentropic on Dec 9, 2022 18:54:34 GMT
The ice is driven by wind and where the cold air is sitting.
Its cold in the "temperate" latitudes so there is no cold air left for the pole (still bloody cold there!)
wiggle watching should be restricted to the children of Australasia (Ratty can elaborate) Nice chicks also.
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Post by nonentropic on Dec 9, 2022 18:55:45 GMT
Niel if that sounded rude that was not the intention, but it is the trend really.
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Post by ratty on Dec 10, 2022 0:25:03 GMT
The ice is driven by wind and where the cold air is sitting. Its cold in the "temperate" latitudes so there is no cold air left for the pole (still bloody cold there!) wiggle watching should be restricted to the children of Australasia (Ratty can elaborate) Nice chicks also.  |
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Post by neilhamp on Dec 10, 2022 6:06:34 GMT
nonentropic,
No offence taken. Its certainly wiggling a lot at the moment. (see image in updated post above)
As my post shows on Oct.22nd on the previous page.
I am watching the trends because of the possible change in the AMO expected in the next few years.
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Post by nonentropic on Dec 10, 2022 8:54:50 GMT
This whole thing revolves around the AMO.
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Post by neilhamp on Jan 4, 2023 7:49:38 GMT
November month end sea ice extent fell BELOW 2010’s average for the first time since March 2022. December month end sea ice extent was BELOW 2010's average Jan.31.—-16th.lowest. +333,064 sq.km. above 2010’s average. Feb.28.—-11th.lowest +116,764 sq.km. above 2010’s average Mar.31.—-10th.lowest -127,470 sq.km. BELOW 2010’s average Apr. 30.—-14th.lowest +16,886 sq.km. above 2010’s average May. 31.—15th lowest +395,097 sq.km. above 2010’s average Jun. 30.—-10th.lowest +35,744 sq.km above 2010’s average Jul. 31.—–12th lowest +228,905 sq.km. above 2010’s average Aug.31.—-11th.lowest +203,902 sq.km. above 2010’s average Sep.30.—–7th lowest +115,918 sq.km. above 2010’s average Oct.31.—– 11th lowest, +269,119 sq.km. above 2010’s average Nov30.——5th lowest, -183,803 sq.km. BELOW 2010’s average Dec.31-----4th.lowest,-138,700 sq.km. BELOW 2010's average Jan.31-----2nd.lowest, -302,000 sq.km. BELOW 2010's average The last three consecutive months have all been below 2010's average. What will happen in September 2023?  |
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Post by ratty on Jan 4, 2023 8:11:32 GMT
" Is the apparent recovery in sea ice extent coming to an end?" That would be unfortunate; we would need to employ someone else to do your job, someone with experience in adjusting raw data.  |
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Post by neilhamp on Jan 5, 2023 8:02:34 GMT
As yet nobody seems to be "adjusting" the Arctic sea ice data.
They are all convinced by their own narrative that the Arctic is warming and the sea ice is disappearing.
Nobody has spotted that the AMO is about to change.
When the sea ice trend becomes clear they may start to adjust the data.
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Post by gridley on Jan 5, 2023 12:05:17 GMT
As yet nobody seems to be "adjusting" the Arctic sea ice data. They are all convinced by their own narrative that the Arctic is warming and the sea ice is disappearing. Nobody has spotted that the AMO is about to change. When the sea ice trend becomes clear they may start to adjust the data. I hit "like" on this post because it is a point well made. Well, a couple actually.
But this board is in desperate need of a "I think you're right but I really don't like where this is going" button.
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Post by glennkoks on Jan 5, 2023 12:14:19 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 5, 2023 21:17:11 GMT
Michael should be careful there. Somebody might ask him to explain the ups and downs with CO2 Theory. This goes back to the exit slope of the Dalton Minimum. Surrendering to the increasingly obvious (at least in part) would be good for his character.  That 1C drop in the CET in first half of SC24 could be replicated in the next few years.  |
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Post by ratty on Jan 5, 2023 22:38:05 GMT
"Surrendering to the increasingly obvious (at least in part) would be good for [Michael Mann's] character." Michael Mann and character together in one sentence?  Typo? |
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That 1C drop in the CET in first half of SC24 could be replicated in the next few years. 