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Post by code on Jul 18, 2021 13:59:22 GMT
As I have said before next month is a ski month in NZ for me and the prediction for the south of NZ given the La Nina was warm and dry. They are at Latitude 45 and that from Astro. What is transpiring is a series of depressions with an origin in tropical pacific sliding down past Ratty on the east coast of Australia then run into NZ. This fits with the prediction. Historically this would be the death of the ski season but this year they are dropping snow rather than rain at the crucial 1500M level and the fields are looking good with more to come. We would normally pray for southern sourced storms and a couple of fronts have been through but not a normal pattern. I'm calling it a cold year based on the snow in tropical cyclones in the south. I live at latitude 36 so just winter a dryer than normal year. Hope Ratty can read this today! Warm and dry? Here in the PNW a La Nina means cool and wet.
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Post by ratty on Jul 19, 2021 5:40:03 GMT
So here's a sight for sore eyes, specifically aiming this at Ratty and his key metric the SOI its gone hard to predicting a La Nina. Its really quite early. www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/soi/Good spot Non. Trajectory really isn't letting up!! BoM's next 'ENSO outlook' is due tomorrow.
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Post by nonentropic on Jul 19, 2021 5:50:02 GMT
My brother is an ophthalmologist and unless you went for some cheap Aussie aftermarket outfit you do not need glasses for general viewing, just saying Ratty clearly you can see again.
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Post by ratty on Jul 19, 2021 5:59:57 GMT
My brother is an ophthalmologist and unless you went for some cheap Aussie aftermarket outfit you do not need glasses for general viewing, just saying Ratty clearly you can see again. My barber does cataracts in the room behind his shop. It's all I could afford.
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Post by nonentropic on Jul 19, 2021 7:21:56 GMT
sob story
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 19, 2021 16:15:47 GMT
Good spot Non. Trajectory really isn't letting up!! BoM's next 'ENSO outlook' is due tomorrow. The long, slow downward ENSO pulses continue on their journey downward from 2015. Can somebody please show me global warming here? I seem to have lost it.
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Post by acidohm on Jul 19, 2021 18:33:29 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 20, 2021 0:57:14 GMT
The ENSO - Lower Troposphere Temperature Anomaly Link (2015-2021)
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Post by ratty on Jul 20, 2021 11:33:54 GMT
BoM latest: The ENSO Outlook is INACTIVE. This means the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is neutral with little indication that El Niño or La Niña will develop in the coming months, with most ENSO indices at neutral levels. While three of the seven climate models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology suggest there is potential for a La Niña to form in spring, the majority maintain neutral conditions until the end of 2021.
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Post by blustnmtn on Jul 20, 2021 12:08:06 GMT
BoM latest: The ENSO Outlook is INACTIVE. This means the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is neutral with little indication that El Niño or La Niña will develop in the coming months, with most ENSO indices at neutral levels. While three of the seven climate models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology suggest there is potential for a La Niña to form in spring, the majority maintain neutral conditions until the end of 2021.Theo disagrees “bigly” with that one.
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Post by ratty on Jul 20, 2021 12:10:31 GMT
BoM latest: The ENSO Outlook is INACTIVE. This means the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is neutral with little indication that El Niño or La Niña will develop in the coming months, with most ENSO indices at neutral levels. While three of the seven climate models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology suggest there is potential for a La Niña to form in spring, the majority maintain neutral conditions until the end of 2021.Theo disagrees “bigly” with that one. Bigly?
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Post by blustnmtn on Jul 20, 2021 12:11:59 GMT
Theo disagrees “bigly” with that one. Bigly? It’s a Trumpism, I couldn’t resist.
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 20, 2021 15:18:52 GMT
Bigly? It’s a Trumpism, I couldn’t resist. Then there's this ... Urban Dictionary: Bigley Search domain urbandictionary.comhttps://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Bigley A shot of tequilla, followed by a shot of sambuca, finishing up with a jagerbomb, taken in quick succession. So called because it takes your head off.
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Post by acidohm on Jul 20, 2021 18:38:52 GMT
It’s a Trumpism, I couldn’t resist. Then there's this ... Urban Dictionary: Bigley Search domain urbandictionary.comhttps://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Bigley A shot of tequilla, followed by a shot of sambuca, finishing up with a jagerbomb, taken in quick succession. So called because it takes your head off. As you expected M'boy, China getting hammered!
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 20, 2021 23:21:54 GMT
May partially explain the increasingly aggressive rhetoric comming out of China. A great need to divert the attention of angry people. Who will feed China? People commenting on other videos on that Twitter link are rapidly losing their minds. GDS gone wild.
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