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Post by ratty on Mar 30, 2024 22:52:40 GMT
OK Ratty. Here are the UAH Global Lower Stratosphere and Lower Troposphere temp. anomalies over the oceans. These only go back to 1978. Global Lower stratosphere anomalies peak during high cycles 21 & 22 and have declined since. Global Lower Troposphere anomalies peak during ENSO events and decline between. Spread is upwards of 2C. Globally, the 2023 El Nino does not come close to the 2015-16 El Nino.
as a 2-year average. I will resurrect the CET and plot likewise. It is Easter after all. Missouri, any predictions on what the UAH anomalies might look like late this year and next year? Ask António Guterres? He knows what will happen right out to 2100. Sorry ...
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Post by acidohm on Mar 31, 2024 13:00:43 GMT
I didn't open this article to view as I didn't want it to affect my brain....
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Post by walnut on Mar 31, 2024 13:43:20 GMT
I didn't open this article to view as I didn't want it to affect my brain.... They want to know where the finish line is.
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Post by missouriboy on Mar 31, 2024 17:23:52 GMT
They have their sentence transposed. They should read Pogo. We (our brains) have created "the climate crisis" ... not the other way around. "We have met the enemy, and he is us" (Pogo). Hard to figure a finish when you have don't even know what the line is.
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Post by ratty on Mar 31, 2024 22:46:01 GMT
It's The Guardian and most of the other MSM that IS the problem and it is self-perpetuating, an editor's dream. If the media in general were to do some basic research and present a balanced view (Heaven forbid!), our brains would be just fine, mental health services could be scaled back and children could enjoy their childhood.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 1, 2024 21:18:13 GMT
OK Ratty. Here are the UAH Global Lower Stratosphere and Lower Troposphere temp. anomalies over the oceans. These only go back to 1978. Global Lower stratosphere anomalies peak during high cycles 21 & 22 and have declined since. Global Lower Troposphere anomalies peak during ENSO events and decline between. Spread is upwards of 2C. Globally, the 2023 El Nino does not come close to the 2015-16 El Nino.
as a 2-year average. I will resurrect the CET and plot likewise. It is Easter after all. Missouri, any predictions on what the UAH anomalies might look like late this year and next year? I expect we will see a cooling in UAH anomalies as El Nino fades ... as they have after every El Nino event. If we switch over to a strong La Nina (like during SC20) things could get quite chilly down the road. I remember the winters of the mid-to-late 70s being very cold here in Middle Earth. Some of the coldest in our entire time series. IR-2-Space should step up again as central Pacific cloud cover drops.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 1, 2024 23:58:16 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 2, 2024 20:55:51 GMT
The New Class
Mr. Durkin, who is publishing a book that takes a deep dive into the “New Class,” said one of the characteristics of that group is they consider themselves to be part of the intelligentsia. By that, he means those who have a university degree that has “very little application in the real world.”
“They hate capitalism because capitalism hates them, and the market hates them,” he said. “If you do a degree in sociology, what use are you to man or beast? If I’m running a lawnmower company, I do not need anyone with a degree in sociology.
“So, they resent that they’re not well received in the marketplace. And historically, they’ve embraced the state because it provides them with an income and a gratifying grand title if they’re working for some big government agency or forum: for the U.N., or an NGO, or for NOAA, or whatever.”
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Post by Sigurdur on Apr 3, 2024 21:48:25 GMT
Decadal changes of the Reflected Solar Radiation (RSR) as measured by CERES from 2000 to 2018 are analysed. For both polar regions, changes of the clear-sky RSR correlate well with changes of the Sea Ice Extent. In the Arctic, sea ice is clearly melting, and as a result the earth is becoming darker under clear-sky conditions. However, the correlation www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/11/6/663
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Post by ratty on Apr 5, 2024 11:03:52 GMT
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Post by duwayne on Apr 7, 2024 20:20:11 GMT
I've posted many times about what I believe is a quasi-60 yr global ocean current driven temperature cycle which is leading to a cooling effect on global temperatures causing them to show only slight growth over the 2007-2037 period.
I've referred to 3 numbers which help document the cycles, the PDO, MVENSO and AMO. I predicted the PDO for 2007-2037 would be -0.7, the same as the previous cycle 60 years earlier, and its since 2007 it's averaged -0.9. I predicted the MVENSO to to average -0.3 and its running at -0.4. So far, so good.
On the other hand I predicted the AMO which peaked at the beginning of the current cycle around the year 2007 would fall to zero around the half-way point of the cycle. We passed that a year ago and it has not been close. Unfortunately, the AMO has not been updated lately, but the surrogate numbers which have been posted here are remaining high.
But things may be changing. The AMO appears to be dropping recently. I'll follow up with another post when I get a minute.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 7, 2024 23:09:26 GMT
I've posted many times about what I believe is a quasi-60 yr global ocean current driven temperature cycle which is leading to a cooling effect on global temperatures causing them to show only slight growth over the 2007-2037 period.
I've referred to 3 numbers which help document the cycles, the PDO, MVENSO and AMO. I predicted the PDO for 2007-2037 would be -0.7, the same as the previous cycle 60 years earlier, and its since 2007 it's averaged -0.9. I predicted the MVENSO to to average -0.3 and its running at -0.4. So far, so good.
On the other hand I predicted the AMO which peaked at the beginning of the current cycle around the year 2007 would fall to zero around the half-way point of the cycle. We passed that a year ago and it has not been close. Unfortunately, the AMO has not been updated lately, but the surrogate numbers which have been posted here are remaining high.
But things may be changing. The AMO appears to be dropping recently. I'll follow up with another post when I get a minute.
If you have recent numbers from a reliable source showing a drop in the AMO, pass them along. The last monthly figure I have is Jan. 2023.
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Post by douglavers on Apr 8, 2024 12:21:19 GMT
{{A solar geoengineering experiment in San Francisco could lead to brighter clouds that reflect sunlight. The risks are numerous}}
From an article in Zero Hedge.
Apparently, a group of Scientists are planning to spray lots of sea water into the sky to create [cooling] clouds.
This experiment has just been done naturally - its called Hunga Tonga, if I have the name right. It would have been many orders of magnitude bigger than anything they might achieve.
It seems to have led to a spike in lower troposphere temperatures.
Longer term, I wonder what the effect of a myriad of micro salt crystals in the stratosphere will be, as the water vapour ebbs away.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 8, 2024 12:37:17 GMT
Dr Mengele I presume?
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Post by ratty on Apr 8, 2024 12:41:11 GMT
{{A solar geoengineering experiment in San Francisco could lead to brighter clouds that reflect sunlight. The risks are numerous}} From an article in Zero Hedge. Apparently, a group of Scientists are planning to spray lots of sea water into the sky to create [cooling] clouds. This experiment has just been done naturally - its called Hunga Tonga, if I have the name right. It would have been many orders of magnitude bigger than anything they might achieve. It seems to have led to a spike in lower troposphere temperatures. Longer term, I wonder what the effect of a myriad of micro salt crystals in the stratosphere will be, as the water vapour ebbs away. It will all be fine, Doug. You worry too much about these dangerous, Earth-changing experiments.
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