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Post by missouriboy on Jul 13, 2022 0:25:49 GMT
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Post by ratty on Jul 13, 2022 2:36:30 GMT
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Post by flearider on Jul 13, 2022 6:03:20 GMT
not magnetically complex little to no mixing ,tho the next few might have a chance
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Post by flearider on Jul 14, 2022 21:22:10 GMT
i'll stick this here .. may need to be moved ...
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 19, 2022 23:21:13 GMT
This was put out near the end of SC24, and it's forecast for SC25 appears on track. So, if SC26 becomes the first really low cycle of the next Grand Minimum, then we may see it.
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 1, 2022 16:21:46 GMT
July Sunspot Update for SC25. Right on track. Just like Dr. Leif had his thumb on the control button. So much for the huge cycle hypothesis.
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 2, 2022 14:08:14 GMT
Was scanning through links trying to update my AP Index data file ... and ran across this.
I must admit that I have felt something similar. And my flower garden too.
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Post by code on Aug 5, 2022 14:26:12 GMT
Was scanning through links trying to update my AP Index data file ... and ran across this.
I must admit that I have felt something similar. And my flower garden too.
I'm not a member and not allowed to view
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Post by douglavers on Aug 10, 2022 11:40:23 GMT
From Dr Judith Curry's blog:
{{This part (2nd of the series) demonstrates the existence of a wealth of knowledge about the sun-climate effect, laboriously produced by scientists that have not received proper credit for shining light on what is probably the most complex, most controversial problem in climatology. This knowledge provides sufficient clues about the sun-climate effect mechanism.
It is no longer acceptable to say that solar variability in total irradiance is too small to have a significant effect on climate, when there is so much evidence that variations in total irradiance are not how solar variability mainly affects climate.
It is no longer acceptable to say that indirect effects of solar variability are too uncertain since their mechanism is unknown when clear evidence for the mechanism is published and ignored.
It is no longer acceptable to only consider changes in total irradiance in model studies and then declare that the modern solar maximum did not contribute to modern global warming.
It is no longer acceptable to reject a sun-climate effect based on the lack of a simple correspondence between surface temperature and solar activity, when evidence suggests that the solar effect on climate works through changes in atmospheric circulation.
If it remains acceptable, then we are building the foundations of climate change science on a false premise that prevents us from understanding it. It will set back the scientific advancement of climatology by decades, just as the refusal to accept the evidence for continental drift set geology back four decades. And it will have huge repercussions for the reputation of science, as most climatologists provide a justification for expensive socioeconomic policies while ignoring an important, well-documented, solar-climate connection.}}
This is the most scathing inditement of CAGW I have seen. The reference to Wegener is particularly harsh.
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 14, 2022 6:57:43 GMT
This is a 7-day centered moving average of sunspots for the first 3 years of Solar Cycle's 23, 24 and 25. We have been surprised by the large rebound in UAH lower troposphere temperature anomalies for July. We "may" need look no farther than the flare up in sunspots (as an indicator of incoming energy) over the last 60+ days. Note the large spikes in SC25. Here in Middle Earth, our mean monthly July temperature was 3C above average. At the same general point in SC24 (June-July of 2012) we were also baked ... again about 3C above normal. Note the sunspot spikes for SC24. In July, 1999 we had another +3C July. That is about day 1095 in the SC23 progression. Right after SC23 really kicked into gear. In December, 2021, we were 7.5C above normal. Note the huge sunspot spike centered around day ~753. Maybe I'm making too much out of what could be coincidences? After all, we are only one point in the middle of the North American continent. But if the sun heats the Earth, then maybe big radiation spikes really heat the Earth. About the end of 2022 on into spring, we are gonna find out just what SC25 has in her ... coupled with a deep La Nina. Charles Oscar is but a 95-lb weakling. I started to say midget, but remembered my sensitivity training.
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Post by ratty on Aug 14, 2022 7:30:10 GMT
" I started to say midget, but remembered my sensitivity training. " Your household has an ESG policy then?
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 14, 2022 16:59:34 GMT
" I started to say midget, but remembered my sensitivity training. " Your household has an ESG policy then? MSG actually, but the Morons get confused,
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Post by acidohm on Aug 22, 2022 20:50:06 GMT
Hi All.....
Not much changing out there, for me at least, to get too excited about.
Arctic ice is doing OK, Nina going for triple dip it seems and UK/Europe has been pretty warm.
This looks interesting....thinking, what if....
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 22, 2022 21:16:55 GMT
Hi All..... Not much changing out there, for me at least, to get too excited about. Arctic ice is doing OK, Nina going for triple dip it seems and UK/Europe has been pretty warm. This looks interesting....thinking, what if.... Missed ya! You say "what if". Please finish that sentence. If what? Within the next month we should see if SC25 is gonna fire up. But the real question may be what UV (and other EM) is doing.
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Post by acidohm on Aug 23, 2022 14:51:41 GMT
Hi All..... Not much changing out there, for me at least, to get too excited about. Arctic ice is doing OK, Nina going for triple dip it seems and UK/Europe has been pretty warm. This looks interesting....thinking, what if.... Missed ya! You say "what if". Please finish that sentence. If what? Within the next month we should see if SC25 is gonna fire up. But the real question may be what UV (and other EM) is doing. Oh I think you know what the 'what if' is Mr.M!! That graph is trending currently. It's just too early in the cycle with too far to go! Almost certainly it'll uptick in coming months.....but if it didn't and that's a peak 😳 that'd be mind blowing. Especially for Dr.Rhode.
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