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Post by tyrbiter on May 26, 2024 21:25:24 GMT
The sun continues to surprise, although once again I'm not convinced that the 'official' SN values are entirely sensible, at least over a few days with what looks like static sunspots where the numbers bounce around by several tens for no obvious reason.
I'd be happy to see more auroras though, and I always enjoy the rough sound of aurora-modulated radio signals even if it does make intelligibility worse.
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Post by acidohm on Jun 16, 2024 4:46:35 GMT
One to watch!  |
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Post by acidohm on Jul 15, 2024 18:20:38 GMT
Well, so....the sun... Kinda got more active didn't it...  |
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 16, 2024 0:43:38 GMT
Saw this in my files and thought it might be useful to re-plot. I suppose I could re=plot with spot counts to current. But I think we can see the trend. Marusak did a good job.
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Post by flearider on Jul 16, 2024 8:18:57 GMT
Well, so....the sun... Kinda got more active didn't it... the last hurrah  |
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Post by neilhamp on Jul 18, 2024 18:21:35 GMT
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Post by ratty on Jul 18, 2024 21:50:06 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 18, 2024 22:31:46 GMT
I have not found any references to updates to the AMO series. Don't know when or if it is planned to return. It is such a long series, you would think they would want to maintain it. |
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Post by nonentropic on Jul 19, 2024 0:56:21 GMT
Does it contradict the narrative maybe.
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 19, 2024 4:25:17 GMT
Does it contradict the narrative maybe. That's always a thought. But it has long been expected that the positive-flat trend would turn over one of these days. I have not got back to it yet ... but I believe that the CET and coastal stations have historically shown a close fit to the AMO. Updating those, in lieu of the AMO should show if a new trend was breaking out. Flea says it is abnormally cold. |
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Post by acidohm on Jul 19, 2024 5:00:00 GMT
Does it contradict the narrative maybe. That's always a thought. But it has long been expected that the positive-flat trend would turn over one of these days. I have not got back to it yet ... but I believe that the CET and coastal stations have historically shown a close fit to the AMO. Updating those, in lieu of the AMO should show if a new trend was breaking out. Flea says it is abnormally cold. Slow process tho! June was first-ve temp anomaly in many months. July heading for a -ve anomaly. This year however has had a very many people laughing and deriding on public forums the publishing of figures showing warm anomalies in other months this year. It just hasn't felt "warm". |
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Post by neilhamp on Jul 19, 2024 6:26:37 GMT
NOAA state "The AMO is currently not updated due to the source dataset (Kaplan SST) not being updated. We apologize for the inconvenience. NOAA/NCEI has a time-series of the AMO based on the NOAA ERSSTV5." This is the one Missouriboy directed me to. www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/index/ersst.v5.amo.datDo we know why the NCEI time series has stopped? They use the word "currently" which suggests they may start to update the data, but I agree with nonentropic. It doesn't fit the narrative. |
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 19, 2024 18:20:00 GMT
This is how the CET and the AMO look plotted together. Remarkably close but not unexpected relationship. I haven't updated my CET records for a while. What is the CET doing? Is it on vacation too?
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Post by acidohm on Jul 19, 2024 20:32:39 GMT
This is how the CET and the AMO look plotted together. Remarkably close but not unexpected relationship. I haven't updated my CET records for a while. What is the CET doing? Is it on vacation too?
CET is tracking along just not really believed by the general population 🤷♂️ |
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Post by missouriboy on Jul 19, 2024 22:20:51 GMT
This is how the CET and the AMO look plotted together. Remarkably close but not unexpected relationship. I haven't updated my CET records for a while. What is the CET doing? Is it on vacation too?
CET is tracking along just not really believed by the general population 🤷♂️ SO ... They are padding the CET? And refusing to publish the AMO?
CLEAR High Treason to King and Country! We must get REAL temp trends from smaller neighboring coastal places.
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