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Post by ratty on Apr 23, 2022 19:24:30 GMT
Sorry, Australia was still Imperial in those years. PS: It was nice to look at. My house was built in 1950, and it too has a fireplace. Probably would want to get a heavy-duty insert if I wanted to do any serious wood heating. Those babies are pricey these days. Y'all burn crocs these days don't ya? There are lots of crocs in climate science.  You need a stake for that. |
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Post by Sigurdur on Apr 23, 2022 21:25:25 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 27, 2022 15:13:17 GMT
We seem to be headed for a triple-dip La Nina. Monthly chart shows that this happened to some extent in the 1998 and 2010 Ninas. Charts 2 and 3 show that weekly trends are now headed down again. Starting at levels below the previous Ninas. Region 1+2 in particular seems headed for depths not seen since the 1970s. What happens in Region 1+2 doesn't stay in 1+2. And when it moves on to Region 3, it affects the troposphere. Note that tropical UAH follows ENSO ... and the Tropics affect the Globe. Appears that the downward slope in Region 3 might exceed 1998 and 2010 ... starting at a lower comparable level AND a very sharp leading drop in the weekly 1+2 values. Let me guess that Region 3 may drift downward into a third winter of cold. Odds?   |
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Post by missouriboy on May 5, 2022 14:03:47 GMT
The 2016-2022 relationship between solar, ENSO regions and UAH tropics - global temperature deviations. I have banged on about how ENSO follows solar and UAH tropospheric temperature deviations follow ENSO. Here, it is easy to see that UAH tropics measurements follow ENSO most closely (lagged). As would be expected, global UAH measurements show a slightly lagged relationship to the tropics. Sharp ENSO declines show quick, sharp UAH tropics declines. UAH globe measures follow at a muted distance. The the 2021 and 2022 La Nina pulses show a UAH tropics-globe difference of over 0.2 C. As ENSO goes into a new-continued downward phase, UAH should follow. Region 1+2 is lower than it's been in a long time, and it will move on to region 3.  |
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Post by code on May 5, 2022 17:43:07 GMT
Be still my beating heart.
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Post by missouriboy on May 6, 2022 0:40:16 GMT
Be still my beating heart. Lotta good skiing coming Code.  |
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Post by Sigurdur on May 9, 2022 23:50:38 GMT
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Post by nonentropic on May 10, 2022 9:53:59 GMT
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Post by ratty on May 10, 2022 11:09:47 GMT
Nor me ..... this is getting serious. |
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Post by missouriboy on May 10, 2022 11:35:38 GMT
Nor me ..... this is getting serious.  |
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Post by missouriboy on May 14, 2022 1:12:03 GMT
The triple-dip La Nina is now the rage.
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Post by code on May 14, 2022 1:29:05 GMT
Temperatures peaked at 51 degrees Thursday at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, breaking the record for the coldest May 12 in Seattle, according to the National Weather Service.
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Post by missouriboy on May 17, 2022 18:29:39 GMT
For the last few years, I have ben looking at the relationships between ENSO and UAH Lower Troposphere temperature anomalies. I repeat a chart posted here before showing how UAH moves in relation to ENSO. A simplistic thesis is that the sun heats the Oceans and the oceans heat the atmosphere. Thus UAH runs with and lags ENSO, which is the only long-running measure of the tropical oceans that I have.
The second chart shows ENSO Region 3 anomalies plotted against UAH Tropical Ocean anomalies. In general, UAH tropical ocean anomalies follow ENSO temperature anomalies with a lag. There are differences between the two cycles. ENSO region 3 La Nina temperatures for SC24 were colder than SC25 during the first cycle. This reversed during the second cycle ... and the upcoming third SC25 cycle may be colder yet. So far, the UAH atmospheric tropical ocean anomalies have not been nearly as cold in SC25 as they were in SC24. We will se what a third cycle brings.
The third composite set of four charts shows various data plotted across the first 37 months of solar cycles 24 and 25 to compare similarities and differences between these two cycles.
Observations: Top right chart shows that the SC25 UAH tropical ocean anomalies have been warmer than SC24. Lower right chart shows that the most recent SC25 anomalies for ENSO regions 1+2 and 3 are much lower than during SC24. Lower left chart shows an interesting change in the UAH LT anomalies for the Northern Hemisphere oceans versus the Southern Hemisphere. During SC24, the Southern Hemisphere UAH anomalies
were warmer than the Northern hemisphere oceans. THIS WAS REVERSED during the first La Nina pulse of SC25. The current ENSO region 1+2 values are colder than they have been since the
1970s.
Curious as to what is continuing to hold (so far) UAH anomalies up.
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Post by ratty on May 17, 2022 21:57:03 GMT
Fascinating stuff Missouri. It seems that climate factors are complex. Whoda thort?
PS: I'll chase up management about that pay rise ....
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Post by missouriboy on May 17, 2022 22:03:12 GMT
Fascinating stuff Missouri. It seems that climate factors are complex. Whoda thort?PS: I'll chase up management about that pay rise .... Certainly not Mikey Mann. |
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