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Post by missouriboy on Apr 7, 2022 16:10:54 GMT
Glen & Fido, cover your eyes. Predictions being what they are, that sounds like good news.  It helps that every "fish storm" that no one would know existed before the satellite era gets named. If the "calculated" wind speeds touch the tropical storm level they get named. I don't know how they can possibly determine the storm's gender though  We know that the female is the most deadly of the species. Therefore, I suggest that the second storm of the season be named "Bitch". |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 7, 2022 16:14:43 GMT
Look to the '70s Non.  |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 9, 2022 1:54:59 GMT
All ENSO regions are declining again. The small Kevin wave is dissipating. Region 3.4 is holding between -0.5 and -1. Region 4 has declined to -0.7. And the Western Warm Pool seems to be showing cooling. The N. Atlantic seems to have turned down again. And everything is looking decidedly chilly. And any eastward-moving Kevin wave reinforcements seem to be held in check by cold upwelling through April 3. It's cold around here.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 11, 2022 7:40:57 GMT
Decided to take another look at the nino regions and solar cycles in the run-up to SC 24 and 25. Data starts 2 yrs before cycle start month (Brown Circle) an proceeds 5 yrs after. First note is that if SC25 started 2 months earlier, the sunspot lines would overlay almost exactly. Just saying. Second note is there are annual pulses in the data that cool toward cycle fire-up. SC25 appears colder than SC24.. As seen in the Nino 3 chart, there is a 12 Mth offset between Nina features. The 1st and 2nd ninas in SC25 appear to match SC24, BUT are 12 months later in the sequence. There is a difference between the 1st and 2nd nina pulses. With SC24, the first pulse is coldest. With SC25, the second pulse seems to be the coldest. Drop to the Nino 1+2 chart. This shows usually colder water coming off the Humbolt, which warms somewhat at times of southern hemisphere summer-fall. Note that consistently, SC25 water temps in Nino 1+2 are colder than SC24 leading into cycle fire-up. If the SE Pacific is moving colder waters into !+2, this could slowly cool the water going into the North Pacific gyre ... a reverse of the Great Climate Shift of 1976? What happens in 1+2 moves west into 3 as shown in the Nino 3 chart. There is a double-peak pre-cycle Nino in each chart, although SC24 starts earlier. But the trend is downward and SC25 is colder than SC24. Strangely, the SC24 Nino 1+2 mid-cycle cold anomaly about month 81 does not show up in Nino 3. COMMENTS & SUGGESTIONS REQUESTED, 
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Post by Sigurdur on Apr 11, 2022 12:32:21 GMT
The upper Midwest started a climate shift to later springs for the past 20 years.
Last year was an exception. This year is right on schedule for another late spring.
Thanks for the graphs Missouri.
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Post by ratty on Apr 13, 2022 7:00:31 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 13, 2022 18:19:37 GMT
The upper Midwest started a climate shift to later springs for the past 20 years. Last year was an exception. This year is right on schedule for another late spring. Thanks for the graphs Missouri. April here is ranging from +15 to -15F from normal. Cold and wet right now. |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 13, 2022 22:00:03 GMT
The upper Midwest started a climate shift to later springs for the past 20 years. Last year was an exception. This year is right on schedule for another late spring. Thanks for the graphs Missouri. Don't like the looks of the Global Tropics.
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Post by nonentropic on Apr 14, 2022 1:29:36 GMT
Good news for me it could start to clarify peoples thinking.
If the poorly spent CAGW funding was redirected towards wealth creation for all rather than an elite in the ruling class any cooling will be handled in our stride.
If you read the stuff from Willis E the tropics are the energy exhaust sort of, the tropical convergent zone expands and contracts to jettison excess heat from the planet. Does a cooling at this region tell us something? The AMO is next.
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Post by acidohm on Apr 14, 2022 16:34:53 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 14, 2022 18:14:41 GMT
Father sun, sister moon.
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Post by ratty on Apr 14, 2022 23:47:42 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 15, 2022 1:54:06 GMT
Manilow? Or Center?  |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 16, 2022 15:53:45 GMT
And here it comes again. THIRD PULSE.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 19, 2022 18:00:07 GMT
OK. This is getting exciting. Look back up the page to the Nino Region timeseries comparisons for 1+2 for SC25. Not since 1975 have we seen 1+2 at temperatures 2C below normal. This will move on to region 3. It's a cold rain gonna fall. Two 22-year Hale cycles. The Great Pacific Climate Shift of 2022 (or 2020)? Mann in a can.
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