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Post by missouriboy on Aug 5, 2023 9:24:00 GMT
Middle of summer here in Brittany ... 11 AM and 60F and a light "cold" rain is falling. No long-term means to go by but Cornwall might provide a reasonable comparison. An Arctic flow is breaking deep. The summer growth ring will be narrow. If increasing CO2 results in warming, it is not apparent here. Forecasted Mother of All Droughts and Tourist-flattening Heat Wave for Western Europe has not arrived. There is a run on rain gear and "long johns" here. Fortunately I brought mine. The mists are closing overhead and I can hear the wailing of the traumatized Heat Fairies fluttering overhead. Will take a survey of the gathered Celts tonight ... to see if I can detect any trend in climate "shock and awe". The Druids say that "the old oak groves" have seen this all before. But the new crop of "flat-heads" have no perspective.
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Post by duwayne on Aug 5, 2023 17:55:07 GMT
I'll be interested to see what reason Roy Spencer comes up with for the unexpected jump in July global temperature anomalies. The Arizona desert clearly did its share.
July 2023 climate report for Tucson Relentless record-setting heat, thanks to a dome of high pressure over the desert southwest, and a late starting monsoon that had a several strong to severe thunderstorm days but overall was lackluster, were the main stories for the month. The hottest single month on record with an average temperature of 94.2° shattering the old record of 92.0° from August 2020. Hottest July on record with an average temperature of 94.2° (old record 91.5° from 2020) Hottest average monthly high temperature of 108.4° (old record 105.1° from 1994) Set monthly occurrences of high temperatures 100° or hotter: 31 days (old record 28 days from 1920 & 1942) Set monthly occurrences of high temperatures 105° or hotter: 29 days (old record 23 days from 1994) Set monthly occurrences of high temperatures 110° or hotter: 14 days (old record 5 days from 1989)
Notice that the old records for the 3 items listed immediately above were from 29 to 103 years ago. |
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 5, 2023 20:08:13 GMT
I'll be interested to see what reason Roy Spencer comes up with for the unexpected jump in July global temperature anomalies. The Arizona desert clearly did its share.
July 2023 climate report for Tucson Relentless record-setting heat, thanks to a dome of high pressure over the desert southwest, and a late starting monsoon that had a several strong to severe thunderstorm days but overall was lackluster, were the main stories for the month. The hottest single month on record with an average temperature of 94.2° shattering the old record of 92.0° from August 2020. Hottest July on record with an average temperature of 94.2° (old record 91.5° from 2020) Hottest average monthly high temperature of 108.4° (old record 105.1° from 1994) Set monthly occurrences of high temperatures 100° or hotter: 31 days (old record 28 days from 1920 & 1942) Set monthly occurrences of high temperatures 105° or hotter: 29 days (old record 23 days from 1994) Set monthly occurrences of high temperatures 110° or hotter: 14 days (old record 5 days from 1989)
Notice that the old records for the 3 items listed immediately above were from 29 to 103 years ago. Seems that some of this may be balanced out by colder than normal temps stretching equatorward along other longitudes. Have not got any data ... only references to much below average longitudinal swaths across parts of Europe and Asia. Thus extremes in longitudinal flow fry some places and freeze others. We have seen this before, but maybe the variances are greater. |
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 5, 2023 20:42:30 GMT
And while I haven't seen any detailed articles from NOAA or NASA, there is this from Electroverse.
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Post by ratty on Aug 6, 2023 0:56:13 GMT
And while I haven't seen any detailed articles from NOAA or NASA, there is this from Electroverse. Will Hunga-Tonga be to the climate establishment what Hunter Biden's laptop was to the MSM? |
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Post by flearider on Aug 6, 2023 4:29:22 GMT
just looked at the forecast thur fri seems to be summer here in the uk ... yay .. 25c then back to rain and more rain .. and 12-15c temps  |
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Post by blustnmtn on Aug 16, 2023 12:35:15 GMT
A long and well timed essay from JC that is worth a read: judithcurry.com/2023/08/14/state-of-the-climate-summer-2023/"Conclusions This Report has provided an integrated look at the global climate from the perspective of the global radiation balance at the top of the atmosphere, components of the surface energy balance, and the internal modes of climate variability driven by atmospheric and oceanic circulation patterns. Recent anomalies are introduced by external forcing from the Hunga-Tonga eruption in 2022 and the change in sulfate aerosol emissions from ship fuels which started in 2015 and was mandated in 2020. The exceptionally warm global temperature in 2023 is part of a trend of warming since 2015 that is associated primarily with greater absorption of solar radiation in the earth-atmosphere system. This increase in absorbed solar radiation is driven by a slow decline in springtime snow extent, but primary by a reduction in reflection from the atmosphere driven by reduced cloudiness and to a lesser extent a reduction in atmospheric aerosol. Any increase in the greenhouse effect from increasing CO2 (which impacts the longwave radiation budget) is lost in the noise." |
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Post by douglavers on Aug 18, 2023 4:13:30 GMT
Greenland Surface Mass Balance is still showing negative figures.
This is odd because ALL the coastal weather stations are showing below freezing temperatures. Interior is really cold.
When I was at school, ice did not melt at below freezing.
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Post by ratty on Aug 18, 2023 6:32:58 GMT
Greenland Surface Mass Balance is still showing negative figures. This is odd because ALL the coastal weather stations are showing below freezing temperatures. Interior is really cold. When I was at school, ice did not melt at below freezing. You were obviously taught under the old system. It's different these days: Ice can identify any melt temperature it likes. |
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Post by acidohm on Aug 18, 2023 20:35:55 GMT
Greenland Surface Mass Balance is still showing negative figures. This is odd because ALL the coastal weather stations are showing below freezing temperatures. Interior is really cold. When I was at school, ice did not melt at below freezing. You were obviously taught under the old system. It's different these days: Ice can identify any melt temperature it likes. Perhaps it's sublimating and causing rain in UK....could explain why we aren't getting a summer here 🫤 |
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Post by glennkoks on Aug 28, 2023 1:53:03 GMT
I hate to use the term "unprecedented" but this summer has been one for the ages for my part of the world and most of the Gulf Coast. Unrelenting high pressure and day after day of near record or record heat. Today it was 108F or higher in most of SE Texas. Our normal high is about 95. Many parts of the area have not seen measurable precipitation in over 60 days. Area lawns look like hay fields. Statistically it is going to be the hottest summer on record by a long shot.
I am a skeptic but this summer is making me question my skepticism when it comes to AGW.
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Post by Sigurdur on Aug 28, 2023 2:13:38 GMT
I hate to use the term "unprecedented" but this summer has been one for the ages for my part of the world and most of the Gulf Coast. Unrelenting high pressure and day after day of near record or record heat. Today it was 108F or higher in most of SE Texas. Our normal high is about 95. Many parts of the area have not seen measurable precipitation in over 60 days. Area lawns look like hay fields. Statistically it is going to be the hottest summer on record by a long shot. I am a skeptic but this summer is making me question my skepticism when it comes to AGW. Glenn: Think Honga Tonga. We are observing the results of a 15%+ increase in H2O vapor in the stratosphere. |
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Post by flearider on Aug 28, 2023 4:12:35 GMT
I hate to use the term "unprecedented" but this summer has been one for the ages for my part of the world and most of the Gulf Coast. Unrelenting high pressure and day after day of near record or record heat. Today it was 108F or higher in most of SE Texas. Our normal high is about 95. Many parts of the area have not seen measurable precipitation in over 60 days. Area lawns look like hay fields. Statistically it is going to be the hottest summer on record by a long shot. I am a skeptic but this summer is making me question my skepticism when it comes to AGW. well at least you had a summer ... 15-18c with maybe 15 days of over 22c yeah AGW my arse ... atm .. it's 12c 5am ... |
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Post by walnut on Aug 28, 2023 4:25:29 GMT
I hate to use the term "unprecedented" but this summer has been one for the ages for my part of the world and most of the Gulf Coast. Unrelenting high pressure and day after day of near record or record heat. Today it was 108F or higher in most of SE Texas. Our normal high is about 95. Many parts of the area have not seen measurable precipitation in over 60 days. Area lawns look like hay fields. Statistically it is going to be the hottest summer on record by a long shot. I am a skeptic but this summer is making me question my skepticism when it comes to AGW. Glenn: Think Honga Tonga. We are observing the results of a 15%+ increase in H2O vapor in the stratosphere. It was hot here but I don't think unusual, in spite of what I kept hearing said on the radio. It was humid and hot which made it particularly uncomfortable, but I know that we have had hotter summers. And there was a nice stretch of cool before the heat arrived. Our pastures are currently green on August 27. That is unusual. Today it was in the 80's, nice. BTW, a friend near Akron, Ohio said that it was the coldest August that he can remember. |
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Post by ratty on Aug 28, 2023 6:51:55 GMT
I hate to use the term "unprecedented" but this summer has been one for the ages for my part of the world and most of the Gulf Coast. Unrelenting high pressure and day after day of near record or record heat. Today it was 108F or higher in most of SE Texas. Our normal high is about 95. Many parts of the area have not seen measurable precipitation in over 60 days. Area lawns look like hay fields. Statistically it is going to be the hottest summer on record by a long shot. I am a skeptic but this summer is making me question my skepticism when it comes to AGW. Keep the faith!  |
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