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Post by blustnmtn on Aug 17, 2021 18:59:29 GMT
A must read from Dr. Curry's website:judithcurry.com/2021/08/17/new-confirmation-that-climate-models-overstate-atmospheric-warming-2/Overall their findings are: “we find considerable warming biases in the CMIP6 modeled trends, and we show that these biases are linked to biases in surface temperature (these models simulate an unrealistically large global warming).” “we note here for the record that from 1998 to 2014, the CMIP5 models warm, on average 4 to 5 times faster than the observations, and in one model the warming is 10 times larger than the observations.” “Throughout the depth of the troposphere, not a single model realization overlaps all the observational estimates. However, there is some overlap between the RICH observations and the lowermost modelled trend, which corresponds to the NorCPM1 model.” “Focusing on the CMIP6 models, we have confirmed the original findings of Mitchell et al. (2013): first, the modeled tropospheric trends are biased warm throughout the troposphere (and notably in the upper troposphere, around 200 hPa) and, second, that these biases can be linked to biases in surface warming. As such, we see no improvement between the CMIP5 and the CMIP6 models.” (Mitchell et al. 2020) A related article: papundits.wordpress.com/2021/08/16/climate-modeling-civil-war/
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Post by duwayne on Aug 17, 2021 20:29:39 GMT
A must read from Dr. Curry's website:judithcurry.com/2021/08/17/new-confirmation-that-climate-models-overstate-atmospheric-warming-2/Overall their findings are: “we find considerable warming biases in the CMIP6 modeled trends, and we show that these biases are linked to biases in surface temperature (these models simulate an unrealistically large global warming).” “we note here for the record that from 1998 to 2014, the CMIP5 models warm, on average 4 to 5 times faster than the observations, and in one model the warming is 10 times larger than the observations.” “Throughout the depth of the troposphere, not a single model realization overlaps all the observational estimates. However, there is some overlap between the RICH observations and the lowermost modelled trend, which corresponds to the NorCPM1 model.” “Focusing on the CMIP6 models, we have confirmed the original findings of Mitchell et al. (2013): first, the modeled tropospheric trends are biased warm throughout the troposphere (and notably in the upper troposphere, around 200 hPa) and, second, that these biases can be linked to biases in surface warming. As such, we see no improvement between the CMIP5 and the CMIP6 models.” (Mitchell et al. 2020) A related article: papundits.wordpress.com/2021/08/16/climate-modeling-civil-war/ Why do I suspect this modeller battle is all a ruse? At the Paris meetings there was a failure to agree. The skeptics walked away believing they had knocked some sense into the climate extremists. But when the smoke cleared, somehow there was a "agreement" that the earth could not under any circumstances be allowed to warm more than 2 degrees (including the historical warming) without catastrophe. The justification for that number is nowhere to be found. It was somehow set in stone while the skeptics were celebrating the Paris failure.
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Post by blustnmtn on Aug 18, 2021 12:55:25 GMT
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Post by Sigurdur on Aug 18, 2021 18:34:42 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 20, 2021 0:27:16 GMT
EPIC FAILURE | 2021 IPCC Report
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Post by Sigurdur on Aug 20, 2021 15:21:26 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 20, 2021 17:09:34 GMT
He obviously isn't vaccinated, so he can't come in.
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 23, 2021 23:54:13 GMT
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Post by Sigurdur on Aug 24, 2021 0:21:11 GMT
Yep, wasn't record rainfall in New York by a long shot.
AS far as Tennessee, I don't know.
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Post by Sigurdur on Aug 24, 2021 2:47:45 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 24, 2021 4:13:44 GMT
Yep, wasn't record rainfall in New York by a long shot. AS far as Tennessee, I don't know. They pick and choose what they want from a very short timeseries without accounting for other possibilities.
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 26, 2021 17:57:42 GMT
Another Academic Quack raises their banner. The GeoEngineers drool and the Guardian rolls out the takeoff matt. www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/aug/26/planet-earth-climate-crisis-geoengineeringThis is the question posed by Holly Jean Buck in her 2019 book After Geoengineering: Climate Tragedy, Repair, and Restoration. Zooming with me from Buffalo, New York, where she’s a professor of environment at the University of Buffalo, Buck is blunt in her assessment. The pace of climate change, and the insufficiency of humanity’s current response, have effectively already made the choice for us: mankind will have to engage in some kind of “geoengineering” – an umbrella term for various methods of intentional, planetary-scale climate intervention – whether we like it or not.
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Post by Sigurdur on Aug 26, 2021 18:12:00 GMT
Another Academic Quack raises their banner. The GeoEngineers drool and the Guardian rolls out the takeoff matt. www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/aug/26/planet-earth-climate-crisis-geoengineeringThis is the question posed by Holly Jean Buck in her 2019 book After Geoengineering: Climate Tragedy, Repair, and Restoration. Zooming with me from Buffalo, New York, where she’s a professor of environment at the University of Buffalo, Buck is blunt in her assessment. The pace of climate change, and the insufficiency of humanity’s current response, have effectively already made the choice for us: mankind will have to engage in some kind of “geoengineering” – an umbrella term for various methods of intentional, planetary-scale climate intervention – whether we like it or not.Gotta be a few nuts to feed the ..............
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Post by missouriboy on Aug 27, 2021 1:21:35 GMT
Another Academic Quack raises their banner. The GeoEngineers drool and the Guardian rolls out the takeoff matt. www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/aug/26/planet-earth-climate-crisis-geoengineeringThis is the question posed by Holly Jean Buck in her 2019 book After Geoengineering: Climate Tragedy, Repair, and Restoration. Zooming with me from Buffalo, New York, where she’s a professor of environment at the University of Buffalo, Buck is blunt in her assessment. The pace of climate change, and the insufficiency of humanity’s current response, have effectively already made the choice for us: mankind will have to engage in some kind of “geoengineering” – an umbrella term for various methods of intentional, planetary-scale climate intervention – whether we like it or not.Gotta be a few nuts to feed the .............. There are some nuts even my squirrels won't eat.
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Post by walnut on Aug 28, 2021 15:01:20 GMT
"From old buckets to high-tech buoys: why initial temperature data need to be adjusted"
good to know
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