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Post by phydeaux2363 on Apr 12, 2023 14:57:57 GMT
Thanks for that link, Ms. Jane. I hadn't seen it before. |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 12, 2023 18:02:59 GMT
Nope. May have been a volcano of the mind. But the activity seems pretty high. No year without a summer - YET.  |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 13, 2023 23:39:51 GMT
Real Spring hit here on April 1 and shows no sign of leaving ... 60s and 70s as far as you can see. Some 80s. If this plays like 2012 (same SC location) it will dry off by July. It's dry here now. But flowering life is all around.
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Post by ratty on Apr 14, 2023 1:20:08 GMT
Real Spring hit here on April 1 and shows no sign of leaving ... 60s and 70s as far as you can see. Some 80s. If this plays like 2012 (same SC location) it will dry off by July. It's dry here now. But flowering life is all around. Do you have a Fake Spring too? |
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Post by blustnmtn on Apr 19, 2023 17:07:31 GMT
notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2023/04/18/what-is-a-1000-year-flood/#more-63619"The concept is widely misunderstood and implies a set of assumptions about the climate system that are not reflective of reality. I know the concept is now widely used in so-called event attribution analyses and press releases, and that just adds to the confusion. It is also built into the policy fabric of U.S. flood policy and is used in the insurance industry."
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Post by Sigurdur on Apr 19, 2023 17:26:09 GMT
Real Spring hit here on April 1 and shows no sign of leaving ... 60s and 70s as far as you can see. Some 80s. If this plays like 2012 (same SC location) it will dry off by July. It's dry here now. But flowering life is all around. Do you have a Fake Spring too? We do in ND. Snowing this morning. 30F below expected high and low. Ice 🧊 sheets coming. |
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Post by ratty on Apr 19, 2023 23:27:13 GMT
Do you have a Fake Spring too? We do in ND. Snowing this morning. 30F below expected high and low. Ice 🧊 sheets coming. Crikey! You will need blankets then ....  |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 21, 2023 15:16:12 GMT
Forecast is calling for a 1-night low of 31F. Based on the 1888-2021 data, that forecast is 6F below a tenth percentile event this late in the season. They happen at "the usual" places during low solar cycles. Last ones occurred in 2018, 2020 and 2021. Keep your ice sheets up there Sig.  My plants are not prepared for that. |
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Post by Sigurdur on Apr 21, 2023 21:10:27 GMT
Forecast is calling for a 1-night low of 31F. Based on the 1888-2021 data, that forecast is 6F below a tenth percentile event this late in the season. They happen at "the usual" places during low solar cycles. Last ones occurred in 2018, 2020 and 2021. Keep your ice sheets up there Sig. My plants are not prepared for that. We continue to make ice sheets for "export"........... forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=48.597815000000026&lon=-97.66958999999997#.ZEL6F_zMKwV |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 21, 2023 23:26:29 GMT
Look at that departure from normal.  -8F below normal for April so far. Max of -20 or so below normal about a week or so ago. |
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Post by ratty on Apr 21, 2023 23:36:18 GMT
Look at that departure from normal. -8F below normal for April so far. Max of -20 or so below normal about a week or so ago. |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 22, 2023 0:09:19 GMT
In Spain and France that departure is DRY. What about the positive IOD ... strongest since about 1950. And these past 4 years of very low pressure over the Azores (chart 2) lowest summer NAO since the Dalton Minimum?
WEST AFRICA Precipitation time series - 1900-2012. Do I see cycles? With a low in solar cycle 20.  |
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 22, 2023 0:42:30 GMT
The last eight years have been the warmest on recordGlobally, the last eight years have been the warmest recorded since 1850 with temperatures at 1.15 degrees Celsius above the 1850-1900 average.
Really Cindy? I mean REALLY?
The chart below is the last 8 years. Chart 2 puts it in perspective over the last 15 years. It changed directions on you Cindy. Please explain!  
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Post by blustnmtn on Apr 22, 2023 21:15:22 GMT
GIGO
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 22, 2023 23:27:41 GMT
? ... ? ... ?  |
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My plants are not prepared for that.
-8F below normal for April so far. Max of -20 or so below normal about a week or so ago.
