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Post by code on Jan 21, 2022 15:16:52 GMT
Let The Wild Rumpus Begin* (Approaching the End of) The First U.S. Bubble Extravaganza: Housing, Equities, Bonds, and Commodities By Jeremy Grantham
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Post by code on Jan 21, 2022 15:37:36 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 21, 2022 16:47:08 GMT
Let The Wild Rumpus Begin* (Approaching the End of) The First U.S. Bubble Extravaganza: Housing, Equities, Bonds, and Commodities By Jeremy Grantham Sooner or later he's bound to be right ... but timing is everything. I'd pass on the Seattle Highway Trailer Trash (posted above). Around here, half a million would still buy you a "small" Kingdom. And you wouldn't have to put up with the unrestrained roving bands of barbarians. When Seattle and Portland have been burnt to the ground, sensible settlers will rebuild and debate what went wrong. Ditto for the great urban desolations of the Northeast, Upper Midwest and West Coast.
Put this up with the great quotes of history ... We humans do crazy very well indeed!
On the bright side ... if there is one ... Florida properties will be purchasable for pennies on the dollar, for anyone that still has money or credit.
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Post by ratty on Jan 22, 2022 7:14:15 GMT
"Handyman special" or "Needs a little TLC" or "Investment opportunity" would feature in the ads over here.  |
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Post by code on Jan 24, 2022 15:16:29 GMT
President of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele 
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 24, 2022 17:58:43 GMT
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Post by code on Jan 26, 2022 0:48:19 GMT
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Post by Sigurdur on Jan 26, 2022 13:57:10 GMT
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Post by walnut on Jan 27, 2022 5:18:56 GMT
My little hedge fund is up exactly 150% since launching January 26, 2020. Going to have audit done next month.
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 27, 2022 16:12:22 GMT
Mainstream Suddenly Realizes Raising Interest Rates In A World Buried In Debt Might Be A Problem
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Post by duwayne on Jan 27, 2022 17:13:02 GMT
My little hedge fund is up exactly 150% since launching January 26, 2020. Going to have audit done next month. Walnut, I thought I was doing pretty well until I saw your result. Do you invest solely in VIX? |
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Post by walnut on Jan 27, 2022 17:32:55 GMT
We try to take advantage of the VIX futures curve contango, which is the normal term structure for most futures contracts over time but especially for VIX, as time increases expected variance has to balloon. So you can short forward month contracts and make money as the contract time values decay. Right now, with a pullback possibly looming, the contango curve is in backwardation, wich signals danger for short selling VIX. So now the strategy is to sell the spikes and take profits quickly. VXX returns are not normally distributed, so the strategy has the risk of being caught in the "fat tail" at the right of the distribution during a short. vixcentral.com/ |
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Post by code on Jan 28, 2022 19:59:59 GMT
My little hedge fund is up exactly 150% since launching January 26, 2020. Going to have audit done next month. Are you taking investors? |
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Post by walnut on Jan 28, 2022 23:54:10 GMT
My little hedge fund is up exactly 150% since launching January 26, 2020. Going to have audit done next month. Are you taking investors?
My partner is a trader named Rob DeAveiro who is genuinely very skilled. I was a broker for several years myself and actually never knew a more successful day trader over the long term. Rob and I developed our system for volatility trading over several years.
Rob sometimes posts on an active daytraders website fazination.proboards.com under the username TheMist. He often posts charts and daily calls which have been helpful for those traders over the years. Several of those members are investors in the fund. There are a few talented and knowledgable traders who post on that website. I go by walnut there same as here. I seldom post though.
BR Chris
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Post by missouriboy on Jan 29, 2022 18:57:08 GMT
A Longer (more detailed) Jeremy Graham View |
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