*ASTROMET CLIMATE FORECAST* WHAT IS AHEAD: 2021-2029'*

[acidohm]

Mar 11, 2023 21:46:20 GMT Molon Labe said:

Sorry. Let me quote the whole thing:

"We are now going to enter the maximum of solar cycle #25 which will see warmer (and in many regions, drier) conditions into the mid-2020s."

Sorry, I was looking at the additional quote lower in the post...



The mid-2020s will see the maximum of solar cycle #25 featuring drier-and-warmer-than-normal climate conditions in 2026, 2027 and 2028 before heavy torrential rains pick up again in 2029 as the Earth's atmosphere contracts further into the worst of all - the second phase of the climate of global cooling under a quiescent Sun.

Which, to be fair, I think is an assessment accounting for non-linearality in a complex system while alluding to an overall negative trajectory in global temperature.

To be honest, I don't think the overall forecast made by Astro 3 years or more ago has panned out. Its perhaps my mis-interpretation or the fact he's primarily forecasting with a US perspective.

His forecast for a large, prolonged Nina event has been spot on, he really nailed that one.

I perhaps expected effects in UK to be more in line with what we experienced in 2009/2010. However, overall judging by the UAH data, the nina period has allowed a plateau in global temps following increases resulting after the 2015 nino. Winters in UK, while having more winteryness then the years post 2013 or so, have felt like we are in that warmer plateau with overall temps showing positive in the CET.

I'd expect an increase in global temps from the presumed upcoming nino, possibly this summer. Seeing as that has been the pattern for the last 20-30 years there's a certain inevitability of it.

I am uncertain as to any future drop in global temps showing on UAH atm, however I don't expect any linearity to it, and after observing these things for 10 years now.....I'm not expecting any quick results in any of this!

[missouriboy]

Mar 12, 2023 6:33:18 GMT acidohm said:

Mar 11, 2023 21:46:20 GMT Molon Labe said:

Sorry. Let me quote the whole thing:

"We are now going to enter the maximum of solar cycle #25 which will see warmer (and in many regions, drier) conditions into the mid-2020s."

Sorry, I was looking at the additional quote lower in the post...



The mid-2020s will see the maximum of solar cycle #25 featuring drier-and-warmer-than-normal climate conditions in 2026, 2027 and 2028 before heavy torrential rains pick up again in 2029 as the Earth's atmosphere contracts further into the worst of all - the second phase of the climate of global cooling under a quiescent Sun.

Which, to be fair, I think is an assessment accounting for non-linearality in a complex system while alluding to an overall negative trajectory in global temperature.

To be honest, I don't think the overall forecast made by Astro 3 years or more ago has panned out. Its perhaps my mis-interpretation or the fact he's primarily forecasting with a US perspective.

His forecast for a large, prolonged Nina event has been spot on, he really nailed that one.

I perhaps expected effects in UK to be more in line with what we experienced in 2009/2010. However, overall judging by the UAH data, the nina period has allowed a plateau in global temps following increases resulting after the 2015 nino. Winters in UK, while having more winteryness then the years post 2013 or so, have felt like we are in that warmer plateau with overall temps showing positive in the CET.

I'd expect an increase in global temps from the presumed upcoming nino, possibly this summer. Seeing as that has been the pattern for the last 20-30 years there's a certain inevitability of it.

I am uncertain as to any future drop in global temps showing on UAH atm, however I don't expect any linearity to it, and after observing these things for 10 years now.....I'm not expecting any quick results in any of this!

For you Acid.  Not really a plateau as the UAH LT tropical ocean temperature anomaly has dropped by -1C and the global ocean anomaly has dropped by -0.3C in 7 years.  Not quite back to 2011 yet

[acidohm]

Thankyou MB 😊

[code]

nothing to see .... move along

[code]

Mar 11, 2023 0:43:39 GMT Astromet said:

Mar 10, 2023 21:04:21 GMT code said:

The Queen is dead,  Long Live the King

La Niña has ended and ENSO-neutral conditions are expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring and early summer 2023

www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

That is all we will see of La Nina until the year 2034 according to my calculations. In the meantime, we are now going to enter the maximum of solar cycle #25 which will see warmer (and in many regions, drier) conditions into the mid-2020s.

Cooling?  Not, Ahhhh!

[acidohm]

Bloody heck, 2034 😲

[missouriboy]

Jun 19, 2023 18:28:23 GMT acidohm said:

Bloody heck, 2034 😲

So ... we have three cycle years remaining to the comparable solar cycle 24 placement of super El Nino 2015 ... or the La Ninas of solar cycle 20.  Or something in between.  We should hope for No large El Nino if we want to stop this madness.  Unless SC25 suddenly takes off, or something else heat-generating happens, I don't see the heat to replicate 2015.