|
|
Post by Sigurdur on Dec 19, 2023 14:17:07 GMT
Atmospheric Heat Mechanics:
Note how Outgoing long wave radiation and tradewinds decline during El Ninos. Could El Ninos create higher cloud cover, which in turn, cut down the Outgoing ... thus raising tropospheric temperatures ... just like we see in the UAH atmospheric temperature time series?
  That is a great description of the known mechanism. Now.... add Hunga Tonga H2O effect. |
|
|
|
Post by missouriboy on Jan 1, 2024 20:21:05 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by ratty on Jan 2, 2024 4:57:44 GMT
So, you've been right all along! |
|
|
|
Post by missouriboy on Jan 11, 2024 23:21:17 GMT
So, you've been right all along! I think that this is a very important paper. It ties ENSO energy states and movements to the SOI and solar inputs. Cycles are quite obvious. I also think that heated Indian Ocean inputs also fuel the Western Warm Pool during negative IOD events. And don't forget that big volcanic plug around Indonesia.
 |
|
|
|
Post by code on Jan 13, 2024 14:18:48 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by ratty on Jan 13, 2024 23:33:15 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by ratty on Jan 15, 2024 1:13:43 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by nonentropic on Jan 15, 2024 10:13:23 GMT
quite a run
|
|
Astromet
Level 3 Rank
Meanwhile, here in the real world...
Posts: 169
|
Post by Astromet on Jan 18, 2024 5:26:19 GMT
There will not be another El Nino until 2029-2030 followed by a monster La Nina into the mid-2030s
|
|
|
|
Post by code on Jan 18, 2024 17:10:36 GMT
PNW weather has been weird, snowing all over the PNW these past days. |
|
|
|
Post by code on Jan 18, 2024 17:18:00 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by ratty on Jan 19, 2024 0:00:10 GMT
International Research Institute for Climate and Society. Betcha they are well up the DEI ladder.  |
|
|
|
Post by code on Jan 24, 2024 17:21:24 GMT
There will not be another El Nino until 2029-2030 followed by a monster La Nina into the mid-2030s El Nino is Dying and the Northwest Will Get Drenched |
|
|
|
Post by missouriboy on Jan 24, 2024 22:25:48 GMT
Charles Oscar is just not doing his/her/it's job. Piss poor return.There will not be another El Nino until 2029-2030 followed by a monster La Nina into the mid-2030s El Nino is Dying and the Northwest Will Get Drenched
|
|
|
|
Post by duwayne on Jan 25, 2024 0:56:49 GMT
The 2024 ENSO numbers are just coming into the picture at the very left of the chart at the 2010 line. It seems like it is following in the footsteps of 3 previous ENSOs where the El Ninos peaked late in the previous year.
|
|
