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Post by acidohm on Nov 10, 2023 5:33:40 GMT
What's that webpage that does decent ssta for various regions?
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Post by ratty on Nov 10, 2023 5:37:52 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 10, 2023 7:40:23 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 10, 2023 8:10:11 GMT
I have not studied Ciarán but I would be willing to bet a large wager (relative to my wealth and relatively low socioeconomic status) that the intensity of Ciarán was not "unprecedented". One of the best books I have read on historical weather was "The Little Ice Age: How Climate Made History 1300-1850"by Brian M. Fagan The man did his homework and poured through historical weather records going back hundreds of years. There are well documented storms that I have no doubt would make Ciarán look like a summer squall. For you real, real weather nerds out there read "Historic Storms Of New England" by Sidney Perley. Once again documented storms dating back to the Pilgrims. But using the word unprecedented gets a lot of views, likes and shares on social media from the weak minded too lazy or too weak minded to question the modern mainstream media. Especially in an age where they ram man made climate change down everyones throats. So while we are at it, I do not think "unprecedented" means what they think it does.. .  And you would be quite right. It is precedented. Unprecedented is often "the last refuge (first choice) of a scoundrel" trying to sell you a big Mannish story. |
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 10, 2023 14:38:27 GMT
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 10, 2023 14:43:10 GMT
Those too. ACE for the North Atlantic was what I was thinking. Looking for the longer timeseries. |
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Post by acidohm on Nov 10, 2023 17:54:36 GMT
That's it!! Gold ⭐️ Ratty! |
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Post by acidohm on Nov 10, 2023 21:23:59 GMT
These snow pack progression charts....for us in UK, I've not seen much correlation in 10+ years.
For us temperate, ocean modified types, there's too many factors in play.
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Post by acidohm on Nov 10, 2023 21:40:13 GMT
What is perhaps more significant for NE Europe is current ssta in N Atlantic. This warm, cool, warm pattern is classic for setting up cold patterns. Now what may be argued over....did the jetstream pull the storms (looking at you ciaran) across the ocean causing upwelling/cooling. Or, did the cooler sst draw the storms. Jury is out on this chicken and egg scenario....  |
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 10, 2023 21:45:19 GMT
Inbound California. The Charles Oscar Temple needs to make some serious sacrifices.
California set for significant precipitation as atmospheric river develops
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Post by ratty on Nov 10, 2023 23:31:38 GMT
That's it!! Gold ⭐️ Ratty![/quote] You've used one of your three free requests.  |
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Post by missouriboy on Nov 14, 2023 6:05:03 GMT
Another winter forecast. Look out Arizona and the Appalachians. |
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Post by flearider on Nov 14, 2023 18:36:37 GMT
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Post by ratty on Nov 15, 2023 1:04:46 GMT
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Post by glennkoks on Nov 16, 2023 12:31:31 GMT
It's been a very mild November over most of the nation with temps running well above normal.
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