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Post by missouriboy on Apr 21, 2024 22:50:33 GMT
UAH details for March, 2024 are in. Lower stratosphere temperature anomalies over the oceans are plummeting. As are IR-2-Space values. All normal during ENSO. Lower troposphere anomalies over the oceans are leveling, and preparing to plunge as ENSO rapidly fades. Looking at the second chart (whole timeseries) note how much larger the visual accumulated IR-2-Space values have been for SC25 versus SC24. As El Nino fades into a likely LONG La Nina, expect those IR-2-Space values to soar back up. Without a big increase in cloud cover we may well set an accumulated record for shedding heat. Could be increasingly mighty cold as we descend that long(?) slope to solar minimum. Place your bets gentlemen and ladies. Clouds serve 2 purposes, cooling and warming. They also shield the Oceans from UV heating. Clouds have decreased worldwide, resulting in an increase in OHC. Will the increased OHC save us from severe cold? Possibly. Unfortunately we don't have the cloud data for the last downturn in the 1970s (SC20). Was cloud cover high during SC20? The cloud cover decline set in during the second half of SC23 and has generally persisted. The base level ENSO values were at least 0.5C lower during SC19 and SC20. Still not accounting for what caused the Great Climate Shift.
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Post by Sigurdur on Apr 22, 2024 11:50:58 GMT
We continue to have much higher H2O vapor in the strat as well.
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Post by Sigurdur on Apr 22, 2024 11:53:43 GMT
Water vapor plays an important role in many aspects of the climate system, by affecting radiation, cloud formation, atmospheric chemistry and dynamics. Even the low stratospheric water vapor content provides an important www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-39559-2
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 22, 2024 22:33:51 GMT
Water vapor plays an important role in many aspects of the climate system, by affecting radiation, cloud formation, atmospheric chemistry and dynamics. Even the low stratospheric water vapor content provides an important www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-39559-2Did you note or have reference to a water vapor timeseries for the Lower Stratosphere? Lower layers in the Troposphere have been falling since about 1998. The following quote is taken from the Climate4You page along with this chart. Bravery is its own reward.
Water vapour is the single most important greenhouse gas, wherefore it is interesting to note that global warming since 1978 apparently terminated in 1998, simultaneously with the step-like decrease in atmospheric water vapour content. Global climate models forecast an increasing amount of atmospheric water vapour along with global temperature increase.
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