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Post by missouriboy on Apr 7, 2023 21:05:24 GMT
Counter-Offensive....its coming... Even Russia media taking seriously They'll be opposed by 100,000 untrained Russians arriving from jail.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 7, 2023 21:09:08 GMT
www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/defense-national-security/pentagon-reviewing-leak-classified-ukraine-war-documentsA little surprised Mr. Just Me hasn't been trumpeting this leaked March 1, 2023 Pentagon report listing Russian war casualties at 17,000 since the special operation began. Gen. Milley testified to Congress two weeks ago that the figure was closer to 200,000. Whatever the number is, Twitter is abuzz with Russian apologists pointing to the 17,000 number as proof that Russia is "crushing" Ukraine. Maybe, but that doesn't explain the WWI like battles that have dominated the war since the first of the year. Fog of war, indeed. He got his draft notice.
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Post by ratty on Apr 8, 2023 0:32:53 GMT
www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/defense-national-security/pentagon-reviewing-leak-classified-ukraine-war-documentsA little surprised Mr. Just Me hasn't been trumpeting this leaked March 1, 2023 Pentagon report listing Russian war casualties at 17,000 since the special operation began. Gen. Milley testified to Congress two weeks ago that the figure was closer to 200,000. Whatever the number is, Twitter is abuzz with Russian apologists pointing to the 17,000 number as proof that Russia is "crushing" Ukraine. Maybe, but that doesn't explain the WWI like battles that have dominated the war since the first of the year. Fog of war, indeed. He got his draft notice.
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Post by code on Apr 8, 2023 15:32:13 GMT
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Post by acidohm on Apr 8, 2023 16:13:49 GMT
Seems like a lot of hassle could ensue from that bragging??!
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Post by acidohm on Apr 9, 2023 6:20:45 GMT
This guy attempts to subjectively analyses attrition to Russian infantry numbers.
Something it highlights is perhaps why an offensive active area like Bakhmut is important to Ukraine.
We know approximately how many troops Russia has deployed.
If you plan to conduct offensive manoeuvres against your opposition, and you have an area where they repeatedly generate casualties. It is advantageous, assuming you're accumulating a lower ratio of casualties, to allow them to continue to do so.
Once attrition has reduced the size of your opposing force, you gave a greater chance of success in your own offensive.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 9, 2023 12:17:57 GMT
As we go towards the 5th day, really thr question is why is Russia not making ground. This thread offers many opinions, there is something telling in progress made by Russian forces atm. Went back and looked at all the opinions on this tweet from Feb. 27. With the advantage of 13-month hindsight, nearly every single one of them wrong. Not surprising. The fog of the blog. If this were an international climate meeting and the Russians were CO2, how might that conversation evolve?
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 10, 2023 14:19:32 GMT
The Practicalities of History.
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Post by Sigurdur on Apr 10, 2023 15:25:34 GMT
Crimea doesn't want to be "freed".
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Post by acidohm on Apr 11, 2023 19:10:28 GMT
Anecdotally revealing interview, there are a series but this one candidly touches on Ukrainian losses, if you take it as such, from the horses mouth.
Other then that, I'm really glad to see the cheeky chappie, up and at 'em lads British squaddie still apparently exists.
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Post by glennkoks on Apr 12, 2023 10:58:20 GMT
According to Zeihan Putin quit making nuclear threats about a year ago because we allegedly dispatched an ambassador and told him that we were listening to his phone calls, reading his emails and we physically knew exactly where he was every hour of the day and if he fired a nuke at anyone in the Western Hemisphere we would send one back right down his chimney.
I guess that made an impression on him because he quit all the nuclear saber rattling. My guess is that we do know exactly where he is at any given moment and that served as a reality check for Mr. Putin.
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Post by missouriboy on Apr 12, 2023 12:09:45 GMT
Another War at another time.
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Post by Sigurdur on Apr 15, 2023 18:28:10 GMT
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Post by nonentropic on Apr 15, 2023 19:28:03 GMT
something fishy about the Russian oil volumes.
Russia, US and Saudi were each above 10million bbls/d and each closer to 12million bbls more generally.
Russian domestic consumption is significant probably 5 or 6million but the balance is likely well above 6 million bbls including refined products which is where the discrepancy is I expect. So the article sort of misrepresents the difficulty Russia must be facing to export and that doesn't even discuss the discount that China and India demand.
The invasion of the Ukraine will damage Russia economically regardless of the morality or who is right. But we already knew that autocratic countries perform economically poorly.
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Post by glennkoks on Apr 16, 2023 14:25:40 GMT
Absolutely, If I did not have a moral compass and could somehow ignore the tragedy of the war in Ukraine I would be snapping up Russian oil at a steep discount as well. But how long can Russia keep producing oil at this price? More importantly how much market share are other OPEC nations losing to Russia due to this "discounted" or "subsidized" price? I'm pretty sure Saudi Arabia does not like losing market share to Russia? The current "marriage" between Russia, China and India is not one based on mutual trust and respect. It's based on greed, self interest and jockeying for position in the new world. China and Russia have had an uneasy relationship at best. China and India are in direct competition with each other for top position in the future. The cost of the war on the Russian people will be deep and long. www.reuters.com/business/energy/low-priced-russian-oil-boosts-profits-chinas-independent-refiners-2022-12-20/www.aljazeera.com/economy/2023/3/20/russia-overtakes-saudi-arabia-as-chinas-top-oil-supplier
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